June Ends - Hottest on Record

[unome]

go to your local NWS pg & type in your zip code, then go down to "hourly weather graph", you can change the options displayed, but if you do, click on "submit" to make those selections appear - the forecast will change as your local NWS ppl update it

here's Austin atm http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... =graphical

[tireman4]

I have 1 inch of glorious rain in the old rain gauge and still falling. That's the most rain I've seen since January!

Good to go until illegal fireworks get popped on July 4th...

That $1000.00 fine for selling or shooting off any fireworks will be enough to keep things in check would be my hunch. No fireworks stands allowed will likely curtail activity in the County.

You know they will Srain, you just know it. Somehow, someway....

[Katdaddy]

1.13" so far the house! Get ready for the massive skeeter fest by this weekend.

[jasons2k]

m so happy My rain gauge has spilled over into the bigger collection bucket which means I have over an inch here and it is still raining. I just heard a decent rumble of thunder too.

[txflagwaver]

Hope we get a little more rain here...just enough to dampen the ground a little...If we get the same amount we just got the yard may be saved..LOL

[srainhoutx]

I'll post this here since it may have some bearing on future rainfall chances next week. The Models have been suggesting the past few days of some potential tropical mischief heading out of the Western Caribbean early next week. The 12Z GFS continues that trend...

[srainhoutx]

It's still raining lightly and even a rumble or two of thunder at this hour. It looks like a bit over 1 1/4 inches in the old rain gauge for me. Also, we have discussions ongoing in Hurricane Central concerning a possible tropical troublemaker for next week in the Western Gulf for those that would like to follow.

[sleetstorm]

Boy, all of that rain was a very welcome sight and alleviation. Have all of the wildfires been extinguished in Texas? I read that the wildfire nigh Katy has been. But, what of the wildfires north and northeast of Harris County? The temperature for today, so far, has not made it to the ninties, or the triple digits here in SE Texas.

[jasons2k]

1.55" here - I'll gladly take it!

[msp]

About 2.45" at College Station. Could be the first day with a high below 90F in a long, long time.

[jasons2k]

So the big question is...now what? Does the line offshore evolve into a coastal trough and cut us off from any more development? Does the area to our West and Northwest get enough heating to develop another round and send it this way? Even if that happened, would it even make it or would it fall apart when it reached the cold pool? Will the cold pool still even be around later tonight? Will we recover for another round tomorrow? Lots of options on the table right now.

[wxman57]

Widespread 0.75 to 1.5" across Harris county as per the Harris County Office of Emergency Management rainfall website:

http://www.harriscountyfws.org/

Looks like my house southwest of the SW corner of loop 610 got about an inch. Better than nothing, but only good for this week's watering of my lawn. Some areas got over 2".

We may have some lingering storms near the coast tomorrow, but that coastal trof will be on its way out of the picture for Friday. Back to hot and dry for the weekend. Will have to keep an eye on the Gulf in another week for potential tropical moisture surging back northward. Models currently indicate a storm developing, but they did the same thing last week. Hopefully it's just more rain for TX/LA.

From the recently-released Houston Area Forecast Discussion (AFD):
NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO BE RATHER WARM WITH VERY LITTLE BY WAY OF RAIN.
DID TAKE NOTE OF THE GFS' HAPPENINGS IN THE SRN GULF FOR LATE NEXT
WEEK...BUT HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH THE QUIETER ECMWF FOR NOW.

[srainhoutx]

.CLIMATE...
THE RAINFALL FROM TODAY HAS FINALLY ENDED THE RECORD-SETTING STREAK
WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL FOR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON AREA. TODAY
WAS THE BIGGEST RAINFALL EVENT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS SINCE JANUARY 24TH.

TODAY`S RAINFALL TOTALS...

COLLEGE STATION 2.45 INCHES
LEAGUE CITY/NWS 2.35 INCHES
CLEAR LAKE/JSC 2.03 INCHES
SUGAR LAND 1.72 INCHES
ANGLETON 1.48 INCHES
BAYTOWN 1.32 INCHES
HUNTSVILLE 1.23 INCHES
HOUSTON/HOBBY 1.08 INCHES
PALACIOS 1.08 INCHES
TOMBALL 0.91 INCH (ESTIMATED)
HOUSTON/IAH 0.80 INCH
GALVESTON 0.73 INCH
PEARLAND 0.49 INCH

DRY STREAK INFORMATION BELOW...

HOUSTON - MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH LESS THAN 0.50 INCH RAINFALL:
1. 148 DAYS - ENDING 6/21/2011
2. 93 DAYS - ENDING 2/13/2009
3. 84 DAYS - ENDING 11/18/1893
4. 82 DAYS - ENDING 1/26/1952 AND 2/8/1918
5. 81 DAYS - ENDING 5/17/1939
(RECORDS SINCE 1888)

HOUSTON - MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH LESS THAN 0.25 INCH RAINFALL:
1. 99 DAYS - ENDING 6/21/2011
2. 71 DAYS - ENDING 1/28/1959
3. 67 DAYS - ENDING 10/14/1975
4. 66 DAYS - ENDING 6/03/1937
5. 64 DAYS - ENDING 9/20/1940
(RECORDS SINCE 1888)

HOUSTON/HOBBY - MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS LESS THAN 0.25 INCH RAINFALL:
1. 99 DAYS - ENDING 6/21/2011
2. 84 DAYS - ENDING 2/05/1971
3. 68 DAYS - ENDING 8/25/1956
4. 60 DAYS - ENDING 4/24/1960
5. 58 DAYS - ENDING 4/23/1953
(RECORDS SINCE 1931)

GALVESTON - MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH LESS THAN 0.25 INCH RAINFALL:
1. 108 DAYS - ENDING 6/21/2011
2. 102 DAYS - ENDING 6/20/2008
3. 99 DAYS - ENDING 6/25/1906
4. 89 DAYS - ENDING 4/26/1925 AND 3/31/1916
5. 82 DAYS - ENDING 8/09/1930
(RECORDS SINCE 1871)

[srainhoutx]

The Coastal trough looks to keep any rain chances confined to Coastal areas today before the Upper Ridge builds back in and hot and dry weather returns for the weekend. Eyes will turn toward the Western Caribbean/SW Gulf as the models are converging on a solution that develops some sort of tropical mischief in the Bay Of Campeche by late weekend/early next week. NWS Houston/Galveston snip on the situation in the medium range...

RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE S PLAINS AND
MID SOUTH THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE THEN BEGINS
TO BECOME MORE ESTABLISHED OVER THE C PLAINS WITH THE ECMWF MUCH
STRONGER WITH THE RIDGE. THE GFS TREND IS TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE.
THE GFS HAS BEEN ADVERTISING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE ECMWF DOES AS WELL BUT
KEEPS IT WELL SOUTH AND MOVES IT INTO MEXICO. THE CANADIAN AND
GFS BRING THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CLOSER TO THE TX COAST. THINK
THE RIDGE WILL BE HARD TO BREAK DOWN JUST YET SO WILL KEEP WITH
THE ECMWF SOLUTION FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP
THE FORECAST HOT AND DRY AGAIN.


NWS Dallas/Ft Worth:

THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE A POTENTIAL TROPICAL
SYSTEM TAKING SHAPE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY AS EARLY AS SUNDAY
AND EVENTUALLY MOVING IT ACROSS THE YUCATAN AND INTO THE FAR
SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY. THE GFS IS BY FAR THE MOST
INTENSE WITH ITS DEVELOPMENT AND IS NOTORIOUS FOR RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONES OUT OF SURFACE WAVES SO ITS SOLUTION
WILL OBVIOUSLY BE TAKEN WITH A GRAIN OF SALT. WHAT MAY BE OF MORE
IMPORTANCE TO NORTH TEXAS IS THE LARGE RESERVOIR OF 2.5 INCH PLUS
PWS WHICH WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE GULF NEXT WEEK. THE GFS DIGS A
LARGE TROF INTO THE WESTERN US WHICH ALLOWS THE 700MB RIDGE TO
SLIDE EASTWARD RESULTING IN THIS MOISTURE BEING PULLED NORTHWARD
INTO TEXAS. WHILE THE ECMWF IS NOT SO OPTIMISTIC...KEEPING THE
BEST MOISTURE WELL SOUTH INTO MEXICO...THIS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT COULD MEAN INCREASING
RAIN CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE/LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.



NWS Austin/San Antonio:

THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT
NORTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...HOWEVER THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER
PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS OUR CWFA.

THE GFS/ECMWF AND GEM SPIN UP A SYSTEM IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY
TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND GEM MOVE THIS FEATURE TOWARDS
TEXAS WHILE THE ECMWF MOVES THIS FEATURE WESTWARD INTO MEXICO.
ATTM THE ECMWF SOLUTION SEEMS MORE PLAUSIBLE.



NWS Lake Charles:

AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BEYOND...GUIDANCE SHOWS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHWEST OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF. VARIOUS SOLUTIONS ARE NOTED THAT FAR OUT...WITH
A LOT DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AT THIS
TIME...THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS FAVORED...AS IT HAS THE STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE (WHICH HAS BEEN GOOD SO FAR THIS SUMMER) AND A
FARTHER SOUTHERN TRACK OF THE LOW...WHICH SEEMS TO BE CLOSER TO
CONSENSUS...WHICH WOULD JUST KEEP HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS.



Follow the discussions concerning this tropical feature in our Hurricane Central Forum...

http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=503

[jasons2k]

The showers dying out have left an outflow boundary draped across the northern metro area. This could be a focus for storms later in the day.

[wxman57]

Another half inch around 6:30 this morning combined with 1.07" yesterday (minus the volume of 2-3 bugs and some dust/pollen that were in my rain gauge). Yard says "ahhhh!". Trees look happy too. AC unit breathed a sigh of relief.

[srainhoutx]

The showers dying out have left an outflow boundary draped across the northern metro area. This could be a focus for storms later in the day.

None of the meso models are impressed by the boundary, but it is there none the less and with the way all the models have handled this setup it will be interesting to see if storms can fire later this afternoon. The sun is now coming out in NW Harris County. Let the destabilization begin...

[gregco31]

So what happens to all the moisture currently in the gulf, namely the larger blob off central mexico. Does it just dissapate?

[jasons2k]

The sun is out here and it's like a sauna. With light winds and rain-cooled air lurking offshore, this should set the stage for a good sea breeze this afternoon. I'm hoping for one more decent round before it's all over.

[jasons2k]

So, I gambled and put down some fertilizer, etc. on the lawn. So far I've been getting teased with sprinkles but this big thunderhead keeps building over me and to my E and SE...it looks like it wants to dump at any minute.