Invest 93L - east of Florida

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

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201110091821
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 93, 2011, DB, O, 2011100918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL932011
AL, 93, 2011100818, , BEST, 0, 240N, 770W, 35, 1011, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100900, , BEST, 0, 250N, 773W, 35, 1010, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100906, , BEST, 0, 260N, 778W, 35, 1009, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100912, , BEST, 0, 268N, 785W, 35, 1008, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 0,
AL, 93, 2011100918, , BEST, 0, 274N, 794W, 35, 1007, SS, 34, NEQ, 225, 250, 0, 225, 1015, 275, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

CORRECTION IN ORDER TO INCLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER BETWEEN FLORIDA AND THE BAHAMAS IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION...

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1715 UTC.

on WU http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

Image

navy: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... p&TYPE=tmi

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User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4052
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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Probably will be a sub-tropical storm and if named it would be Rina.
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

Melbourne area is getting whacked - they have some cool features on their NWS site in participation with our Spaceflight Meteorology Group in Houston

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/blog.php

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/?n=adas_realtime

(realtime)
Image

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
832 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-045>047-053-054-141-147-100200-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
832 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

...DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUE ALONG THE INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...AND
VOLUSIA COUNTY COASTS...

LATEST DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFFSHORE SEBASTIAN INLET IS
DEEPENING AND SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE BREVARD
COUNTY COAST.

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH HAVE BEEN
REPORTED ALONG THE VOLUSIA...BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTY COASTS
OVER THE PAST TWO HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH
POSSIBLE ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COASTS.

LOCATIONS ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR...FAR EASTERN SEMINOLE...ORANGE...
AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES...WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SUSTAINED EAST-NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS ACROSS METRO
ORLANDO WILL REMAIN AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
POSSIBLE.

THESE WINDS HAVE CAUSED DAMAGE TO TREES...ROOFS AND POWER
LINES IN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES THIS EVENING...AND ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE BAND OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL JUST OFFSHORE THE BREVARD COUNTY
COAST HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST HOUR...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT TOWARDS THE NORTHERN BREVARD COAST AROUND CAPE
CANAVERAL OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS. RAINFALL RATES IN THIS BAND HAVE
BEEN BETWEEN 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR...WHICH WILL AGGRAVATE ONGOING
FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

IN ADDITIONAL TO VERY STRONG WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...
FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITHIN THESE STRONGER
BANDS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS WILL ALSO INCREASE
ACROSS NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY AS THIS STRONG BAND APPROACHES THE
COAST.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

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