January: Seasonal Temps To End The Month

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
unome
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busy day all over Texas http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/tx.php?x=1

some dry air mixing in from the Pacific/Mexico http://www.tceq.texas.gov/assets/public ... atest.jpeg

shows up well in this animation, using "convection" enhancement http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html
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C2G
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According to NWS the potential still exist for severe storms until this evening.
Widespread rain and thunderstorms will continue today. The threat for the heaviest rainfall will occur from the late morning through the afternoon before the rain tapers off this evening. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible. Because of the wind shear in the lower atmosphere, there is a slight risk for strong or severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds and isolated tornadoes today through early this evening.
unome
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nice water vapor shot, loops at the link http://www.weather.gov/satellite#wv

Image

ditto for infrared http://www.weather.gov/satellite#ir

Image
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MESOMAN
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This place is pretty quiet seeing as how the main event is about to unfold. Finally getting the training stroms creeping ever so close to Houston. If it stalls its eastern movement over the city, things could get ugly.
Snowman
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I dont think the line will stall but watch for back building
Texas Pirate

I think someone asked last night on here about rain total so far

From HGX NWS: HPC

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=FTWHYDHGX

I got a bit over 2 inches in the bay area. Far from the 5-7 inches predicted - but grateful of the 2 inches.
Here's to the beautiful bluebonnet season!
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djjordan
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This about covers it .....HGX issues area wide Flood Advisory

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
WESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 1112 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN WHICH WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR IS COMMON ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE
HOUSTON...MISSOURI CITY...LAKE JACKSON...MISSION BEND...SUGAR
LAND...ROSENBERG...FIRST COLONY...ANGLETON...BELLAIRE...PECAN
GROVE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...FREEPORT...KATY...CLUTE...
RICHMOND...STAFFORD...JERSEY VILLAGE...TOWN WEST...MEADOWS...
HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...WEST COLUMBIA...PRAIRIE VIEW...BUNKER HILL
VILLAGE...BROOKSHIRE...SPRING VALLEY...SWEENY...PINEY POINT
VILLAGE...FRESNO...MANVEL AND RICHWOOD.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN
URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW
INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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jasons2k
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Just remember those 5-7" maps were widespread across all of SE Texas. While isolated totals may get there, it looks more and more like that isn't going to verify.
unome
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still going strong here http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/tx.php?x=1

Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX124EE801A7F4.FloodAdvisory.124EE8021C5CTX.HGXFLSHGX.018fed982c960ae86dc1682bb41ad040 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 11:17 CST on 01-09-2013
Effective: 11:17 CST on 01-09-2013
Expires: 14:15 CST on 01-09-2013
Event: Flood Advisory
Alert:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
WESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 1112 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN WHICH WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR IS COMMON ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE
HOUSTON...MISSOURI CITY...LAKE JACKSON...MISSION BEND...SUGAR
LAND...ROSENBERG...FIRST COLONY...ANGLETON...BELLAIRE...PECAN
GROVE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...FREEPORT...KATY...CLUTE...
RICHMOND...STAFFORD...JERSEY VILLAGE...TOWN WEST...MEADOWS...
HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...WEST COLUMBIA...PRAIRIE VIEW...BUNKER HILL
VILLAGE...BROOKSHIRE...SPRING VALLEY...SWEENY...PINEY POINT
VILLAGE...FRESNO...MANVEL AND RICHWOOD.

Instructions: EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
Target Area:
Austin
Brazoria
Fort Bend
Harris
Matagorda
Montgomery
Waller
Wharton

getting a lot of lightning by us, time to unplug some stuff...
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Kludge
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As I understand it, this rain event won't be over until the upper level low south of the Big Bend crosses over southeast Texas. Looking at the inrared loop, http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/wcir.html, it doesn't seem to have moved much over the past few hours. I'm wondering if it will in fact be over by tomorrow as the current forecast is calling for.
Andrew
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Kludge wrote:As I understand it, this rain event won't be over until the upper level low south of the Big Bend crosses over southeast Texas. Looking at the inrared loop, http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/wcir.html, it doesn't seem to have moved much over the past few hours. I'm wondering if it will in fact be over by tomorrow as the current forecast is calling for.

We could get some more but dry air is filtering in:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/sc/flash-wv.html
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Ptarmigan
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Some areas already have 5 inches of rain so far. Point Bolivar has 5 inches if rain so far.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=FWRHYDHGX
sau27
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Is the line that is coming through now going to be it. I keep hearing there is supposed to be a squall line later this afternoon but I dont see anything developing out west.
Snowman
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Everyone is getting a lot of rain but this is really a lame event. Just rain. Nothing exciting. Oh well. I guess exciting weather wouldn't be exciting if it happened frequently
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Belmer
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sau27 wrote:Is the line that is coming through now going to be it. I keep hearing there is supposed to be a squall line later this afternoon but I dont see anything developing out west.
Yes, this is the "main" line. However, we could still see a few showers later this afternoon/evening.
Blake
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Andrew
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This was never a really big severe weather event. When you have this much moisture with only a minimal CAPE you aren't going to get much severe, especially now that the atmosphere has been so effectively worked over.
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ticka1
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How are the bayou's holding up? Any near bankful or over their banks?

How fast is this line moving through? Once this event is done then we have a few days of dry then another round this weekend. With next week more rain and maybe cold temps!
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gocuse22
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Just as I thought no severe weather..just some good soaking rains...clear out thursday and friday before rain chances saturday well into next week
redneckweather
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Lame event? wth??? All areas are getting a damn good rain including the drought stricken areas of the hill country out near Portastorm...thank god!! The hill country is my home away from home and this is a GREAT event for the entire state! If you are disappointed that someone didn't have a tree land on their house because of a severe storm then you have issues. Carry on. 8-)
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Ptarmigan
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Nice to see rain. Of course, we could use more. If severe weather happened, that would be an isolated event to begin with. Severe weather looked to be minimal anyways. I notice stronger storms south of Houston and heading north.
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Wed Jan 09, 2013 12:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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