January: Seasonal Temps To End The Month

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
ticka1
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still raining here on the east side ....riding the bus home i noticed the orangey glow the sky had.....until we ran into the rainfurther dowN I-10
Paul Robison

From the Storm Prediction Center, regarding Sat/Sun storm system:

ACUS48 KWNS 090925
SPC AC 090925

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 AM CST WED JAN 09 2013

VALID 121200Z - 171200Z

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM THE SWRN U.S. INTO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A BELT OF FAIRLY
STRONG FLOW ALOFT FROM NRN MEXICO INTO THE OH VALLEY. THIS FLOW
REGIME WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT ACROSS ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY/CNTRL GULF STATES WHERE ASCENT ATOP FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD
ENCOURAGE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WHILE STRONG FLOW ALOFT WILL BE
NOTED ALONG THE ADVANCING WIND SHIFT...SEEMINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF
ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS...WEAK THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES AND THE
TENDENCY FOR POST-FRONTAL CONVECTION MAY ULTIMATELY LIMIT SEVERE
POTENTIAL WITH THIS ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY4-5 TIME FRAME.

Comments?
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Rip76
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Another

Image

:)
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jasons2k
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Anyone notice the new band trying to setup from Matagorda out into the Gulf? Perhaps another round tonight, esp. for SE areas?
TexasBreeze
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I don't think this was a bust! A bust would have been if it didn't rain! :P
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Rip76
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Just kidding folks...

But our friend Linder did get some 740am air-time..

Should get more rain tonight...
Looks like things have destabilized a little tonight.
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C2G
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Already heard a few rumbles of thunder tonight.
If that band sets up over me in a few hours it could be a very rainy night.
Loving all this rain.

.
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C2G
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The low's still spinning away in west Texas. Last few frames you can see the complex explode down to our southwest.
Will it hold together?

.
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Ptarmigan
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Expires:201301101015;;650998
FPUS54 KHGX 100322
ZFPHGX
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
922 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

TXZ213-101015-
HARRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...PASADENA...
TOMBALL
922 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG EARLY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 70.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT IN THE
MORNING.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LOWS 39 TO 54.
.MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LOWS AROUND 40.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
$$

http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/foreca ... txz213.txt

Rain all next week.
Texas Pirate

Its raining with lightening down by the bay area.
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gocuse22
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Now the question becomes...Does this line of rain go through the Houston area...?
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C2G
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gocuse22 wrote:Now the question becomes...Does this line of rain go through the Houston area...?
Looks like it's already starting to go through the Houston area, at least the southwest side.
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gocuse22
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Stronger portions of this line should start to come through around 2am
redneckweather
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What a difference a day makes. This board has gone DEAD with the talk of arctic air spilling down and putting us in a deep freeze. That is all anyone was talking about and now, not a word. Everyone from local board enthusiasts, Larry Cosgrove, Joe B to local on air mets were all on board and now not a word. Crazy.
Ounce
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Ed, I'm trying to cypher out the GFS 8 day. For Sunday, the 13th, would I be reading it right that the highest chance for rain is around 6 a.m. and the front also passes at that time because the wind direction flips to the north to about 10 mph?

Last January, I remember the GFS was aces on temperature range, but wasn't as sharp on the timing and intensity of rain and didn't know if it's still that way. thanks.
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cristina99
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Here is a link to the Sciguy who writes for the Houston Chronicle. Of course, we never know what Mother Nature will do - but this would explain why the board is quite quiet with news of any impending coldER weather coming our way in the next weeks. I still am holidng out for some really really cold air. Just because I know what's coming starting in May and it would be nice to bottle some of this cold air for those 100 degree days! :D

Let's get the talking started again on the cold.

http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/
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wxman57
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12Z GFS has some warmer temps Fri/Sat but a big cool-down Sunday and quite cold Mon-Tue with highs in the low-mid 40s. Should be a quite cold Marathon, with temps dropping to around 50 deg and light rain for the run. I think I'll pass..
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harpman
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Interesting article from a met at Accuweather on the Sudden Stratospheric Warming that is occuring. I just wonder what parts of the U.S. will get the Arctic dump? Any thoughts?

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-b ... be/3888124
vci_guy2003
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Looks like it's all heading east. That sucks. :cry:
SaskatchewanScreamer
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wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS has some warmer temps Fri/Sat but a big cool-down Sunday and quite cold Mon-Tue with highs in the low-mid 40s. Should be a quite cold Marathon, with temps dropping to around 50 deg and light rain for the run. I think I'll pass..

hmmmmmmm must work on upping the output of my fans! :geek:
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