September: Weekend Rain Chances. 1-2 Inches Possible C/N TX

[Ptarmigan]

Evening e-mail from Jeff:

Tropical wave over the south-central Gulf of Mexico has been declared 99L this afternoon.

US Air Force aircraft investigated the area of disturbed weather this afternoon and did find a broad low level circulation, but no well defined center. Additionally, since the time the aircraft left, deep convection has decreased and it would not appear that the system is becoming any better organized. While upper level conditions do appear favorable for intensification, the system will be nearing the Mexican coast over the next 24 hours and this should limit the overall development potential. With that said, systems under favorable upper level conditions in this part of the Gulf of Mexico can spin up into tropical storms fairly quickly and this is possible on Friday.

Tropical moisture will be moving into the TX coast on Friday and during the weekend with increased rain chances especially near the coast.

Over the next 5-15 days the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico will need to be watched closely for additional tropical developments as several model ensembles are suggesting some potential for more organized tropical activity.

 

It should be interesting. Let's hope for more rain.

[Kludge]

Humberto was in 2007.

Can you find a year in the North Atlantic where there were no hurricanes?

[srainhoutx]

Humberto was in 2007.

Can you find a year in the North Atlantic where there were no hurricanes?

I believe 1907 and 1914 had no reported Hurricanes, but that was well before the satellite era.

[Ptarmigan]

Humberto was in 2007.

Can you find a year in the North Atlantic where there were no hurricanes?

I believe 1907 and 1914 had no reported Hurricanes, but that was well before the satellite era.

The data should be considered dubious. I am pretty sure 1907 and 1914 had hurricanes, but likely in the middle of the ocean.

[Rip76]

Feeling "funnel cloud-ish" out there...

[kayci]

I've watched many water spouts form from my backyard as I'm close to TC dike. Bring some action!

[Rip76]

Feeling "funnel cloud-ish" out there...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1018 AM CDT FRI SEP 6 2013

TXZ214-237-238-061900-
CHAMBERS-BRAZORIA-GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...
PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...ANGLETON...FREEPORT...
LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON
1018 AM CDT FRI SEP 6 2013

...WATER SPOUTS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE TODAY...

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO COASTAL
AREAS FROM OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. WATER SPOUTS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS
MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE WATER SPOUTS AND
FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. SHOULD A FUNNEL CLOUD REACH THE
GROUND OR A WATER SPOUT MOVES INLAND ONE SHOULD SEEK SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY. PLEASE REPORT ANY WATER SPOUTS OR FUNNEL CLOUDS
REACHING THE GROUND TO THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

$$

And there you have it...

[kayci]

Am I seeing double? cookie cutter posts????

[Rip76]

Just put my sprinklers out...

[srainhoutx]

I had .15 inches of rain yesterday after the seabreeze passed. Not looking too good today up here in NW Harris County in the potential rainfall department, but I am somewhat optimistic that early next week another chance of a easterly wave/inverted trough may bring a bit more rain further inland and just perhaps a bit further N than TD 8 toward the South/Middle Texas Coast. We will see.

[mckinne63]

Was looking cloudy and seemed like we might get some rain in Stafford this afternoon. Alas, only a few sprinkles. Not even enough to get my hair wet. Sigh... Sun is back out, just hot and steamy, no rain in sight. On the plus side, FOOTBALL is back, which means hopefully cooler temps and maybe, just maybe some rain....

[TexasBreeze]

Was looking cloudy and seemed like we might get some rain in Stafford this afternoon. Alas, only a few sprinkles. Not even enough to get my hair wet. Sigh... Sun is back out, just hot and steamy, no rain in sight. On the plus side, FOOTBALL is back , which means hopefully cooler temps and maybe, just maybe some rain....

Very happy about football season! Rained a bit at the house and became a real steambath afterwards!

[skidog40]

something is coming off the coast of florida

[srainhoutx]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO AND BAY OF CAMPECHE IN A FEW DAYS. SOME DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[rnmm]

If something was to form in the SW GOM/BOC would it head towards Texas or to Mexico?

[mckinne63]

Had a brief shower here in Stafford this morning. Better than nothing.
\

[srainhoutx]

If something was to form in the SW GOM/BOC would it head towards Texas or to Mexico?

Somewhere between Tuxpan Mexico and the Middle Texas Coast appears to be the area that any weak tropical disturbance could eventually move inland with NE Mexico Gulf Coast to just S of Corpus Christi the most favored area at this time.

[SusieinLP]

Wind and thunder but that bubble over my house persists. Storms seem to be everywhere around me but alas, again no rain

[unome]

http://www.khou.com/news/local/font-col ... 14011.html

by KHOU.com staff

khou.com
Posted on September 7, 2013 at 2:08 PM
Updated today at 2:19 PM
Atascocita Road gas leak

HARRIS COUNTY -- Harris County Emergency Corps has issued a shelter-in-place for homes east of the 5000 block of Atascocita Road after a tank filled with pyrethrin gas fell over after being struck by lightning.

Officials said the gas tank is leaking and advised residents turn off their air conditioners. A radius for the alert was not given.

Haz-mat crews are working to contain the scene.

[srainhoutx]

The Western Gulf of Mexico remains very unsettled this afternoon. It appears this will be the theme for the next several day into next week as generally lower pressures and several tropical waves move WNW to NW from the Western Caribbean Sea.