Baseballdude2915 wrote:Wow, GFS is back into the upper teens/low 20s for a few mornings. Of course the majority of this board knows its all just fun to watch at this point, but those TV mets hinted too soon to the public, going to be fun watching them explain the inconsistency to the average person following their facebook posts.
jasons wrote:
And why would that be "fun"? Do you enjoy others' misery or something? Do you think you would do a better job?
This is a very challenging forecast with lots of implications. The pattern points to historical-like cold but that's not something you forecast, unless/until you are absolutely certain. In the meantime, millions of inquiring minds want to know what's going to happen, and the vast majority of those people don't understand the nuances of modeling, physics, etc. Right now it's a pressure cooker.
I don't envy their position at all, and I certainty wouldn't say it's "fun" to watch a professional explain a very complex situation to an audience of simpletons (when it comes to weather/science).
As you can tell, I've been quietly lurking, but this set me off. I think people, especially those who frequent this board and should know better, need to give the pro-mets some latitude and let them do their jobs.
Jasons, certainly see what you mean, did not mean to set you or anyone off. I respect their job and it is a very difficult one. The core of what I meant was, that it was WAYYY to soon imo for anyone in the public eye to throw out possible low temp numbers. Pretty much any thing is possible after 190 hours or so. I've overheard about 10 people say "did you hear its going to be like 16 on Christmas!?". Not to mention the online buzz created by that. Thats what is entertaining to me is what these same people go back with huge confusion and backlash when it changes/doesnt verify. In this day and age, people grab the most important bit of information from whatever it is they read and go with it. They didnt see the "models, uncertainty, etc" bit they just saw numbers like 16/teens. I personally think that nothing more than "possible record breaking, prolonged freeze around Christmas time, so ensure your winter prep kit is prepared" should be mentioned at this point. Mainly, im referencing the social media side of this whole debacle. Then again, Im just a marketing major still in college and not a professional met with 10+ years experience.
But lets not debate over what should/shouldnt be said, luckily its not our job. Back to regulary scheduled programming with the 12z rolling out now