Good analysis, thanks!Portastorm wrote:helloitsb wrote:Obviously there was never any doubt it would be cold enough but apparently there is more moisture for y'all than they originally thought. Do you think this transpires to more moisture for SETX?Portastorm wrote:EWX now forecasting up to a half inch of snow accumulation for the Austin metro area by morning. Significant upgrade in anticipated winter weather conditions compared to late afternoon forecast.
IMO, what it means is that the lack of data from Mexico on this upper air system provided questionable integrity with the models we all saw. It was always a possibility and that's why your HGX forecasters stuck to their guns, wisely I think. They knew this was a possibility. It would seem to this amateur weather enthusiast that this development would mean more moisture for SE Texas as well. Stronger system ... a little further north than predicted ... a little wetter.
Also, they cancelled my classes at Lone Star, less Emily Dickinson, more weather watching for tonight