Portastorm wrote:I realize looks can be deceiving when viewing satellite loops on these kinds of systems, but after reviewing the 48-image GOES 16 visible satellite of the Gulf ... it doesn't look like this thing is moving right now. At all.
Portastorm wrote:I realize looks can be deceiving when viewing satellite loops on these kinds of systems, but after reviewing the 48-image GOES 16 visible satellite of the Gulf ... it doesn't look like this thing is moving right now. At all.
Agreed Porta. I think it is stationary.
That's what scares me the most - these storms with copious amounts of rain with no wind behind it ala Allison....
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
100 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017
...DISTURBANCE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CINDY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 90.5W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 355 MI...565 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...2
Last edited by davidiowx on Tue Jun 20, 2017 12:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Inspecting Water Vapor Imagery, we can see the Upper Low along the Texas Coast moving slowly out and the clouds over Louisiana associated with Cindy's Outflow expanding West toward E/SE Texas. If we look to West Texas, we can see the Eastern periphery of the SW Heat Ridge slowly edging back to the West toward Arizona. This stall may be related to that Upper Low and I suspect a NW or WNW motion will resume later today into tonight. If you recall the ECMWF suggested the Upper Low would move out of the way and a Westward motion could occur along the Central/SW Louisiana Coast prior to turning North along the Middle/Upper Texas Coast and moving inland. We have great satellite tools that assist in visually seeing what is happening.
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kayci wrote:Great, just great.... just when I booked reservations at Fentress, TX @ Leisure campground for the weekend.... just my luck.
This should be ( and correct me if I am wrong) gone by the weekend...we have a swim meet in the Woodlands..outside..( well, we are outside, the swimmers are inside)
The Euro is also stronger and brings the storm through Galveston bay at 990mb's and shows 10 meter winds in Houston gusting to 50 knots and 10 meter winds along the coast gusting to over 60 knots fwiw.
Now it is starting to get to the point of throwing out modeling and just watch satellite trends and track the features that Srain mentioned in analysis.