Agreed.Cromagnum wrote:MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Yeah I’m the exact opposite. This weather is disgusting in December. This weather is “nice” if it happened in August.jasons wrote:I know I may be in the minority, but I am enjoying this warm SE Texas weather. It's beautiful outside, what else can I say....days like today make me glad I don't live up north.
Truth.
December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Some of those analog dates got cold like in 1962, 1063, 1983, and 1989.srainhoutx wrote:Winter officially starts tomorrow and we already have seen a couple of inches of snow. We still have at least 2 to 3 months of cold weather potential.
Just took a peak at the shorter range versions of the NAM (32km/12km/3km). Look at the 500mb vorticity charts at hour 54. Those closed 500mb charts look somewhat like what wxman57 posted a week ago when the GFS showed that vort near El Paso and had totally disappeared from the recent week worth of Global models. Remember is never wise to fully trust those model beyond a couple of day particularly in Winter.
Also the morning Day 8+ Analogs:
Um...have ya'll seen the CMC?
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[quote="jasons"]I know I may be in the minority, but I am enjoying this warm SE Texas weather. It's beautiful outside, what else can I say....days like today make me glad I don't live up north. [/quote
Jason I agree with you
Jason I agree with you
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That 12z Canadian deserves consideration for the model insanity hall of fame. Go home CMC you're drunk.
Crazy Uncle as it may be, it nailed our snow event here in Louisiana two weeks ago. LOL!
Might be a silly question but could La Nina be a reason for the models to be acting like they are on crack or something? They can't seem to get 2 runs in a row to look the same.....
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My hunch is the Global Models are having fits with a very persistent low pressure gyre situated over Eurasia and portions of Eastern Siberia. The models have tried to break that pattern down and as of yet, it is holding strong. That is just one of many factors including tropical forcing across the Pacific as well as the MJO and lack of any meaningful cold air across our Source Regions. Looking at the teleconnection indices, there continues to be some "hints" of a somewhat favorable pattern for delivering cold air down South and there are a couple of Tropical Storms brewing in the Western Pacific, but time will tell of the Indices and the impacts of those tropical disturbance will even have a meaningful impact in the week ahead. Meanwhile expect freezing temperatures mainly along and North of I-10 Christmas Eve night into Christmas Morning with slightly below climatology temperature wise Sunday through next Tuesday. At least it will 'feel' a little like Christmas.snowman65 wrote:Might be a silly question but could La Nina be a reason for the models to be acting like they are on crack or something? They can't seem to get 2 runs in a row to look the same.....
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Just for kicks, what does the CMC say?
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vci_guy2003 wrote:Just for kicks, what does the CMC say?
Huge winter storm for us late next week
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And none of the other models are showing anything close to that?
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vci_guy2003 wrote:And none of the other models are showing anything close to that?
Certainly nothing like the Canadian is showing. The other models are showing cold air, but not snow and ice to the gulf coast.
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Our only hope now is the CMC model. Man, I sure hope a few of y'all are wishing hard!!
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I'd like to see a graphic of that model. I am wishing for sure.redneckweather wrote:Our only hope now is the CMC model. Man, I sure hope a few of y'all are wishing hard!!
The next run went the proverbial Lucy and football...but here it is.WWxHopeful wrote:I'd like to see a graphic of that model. I am wishing for sure.redneckweather wrote:Our only hope now is the CMC model. Man, I sure hope a few of y'all are wishing hard!!
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That was the 00 run the 12z showed notta
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Cold New Years Eve? The ECMWF roll of the dice today say maybe with a 1054 High over Wyoming. Any takers?
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lol, I'll pass for now, Steve.
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FYI: GOES 16 now known as GOES East is back up on College of DuPage. Good to see these awesome images again after it's transition to a new position. GOES 17 is due to launch early next year.
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-0
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-0
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vci_guy2003 wrote:And none of the other models are showing anything close to that?
Remember the CMC nailed the snow event two weeks ago.