JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns

[Cromagnum]

This weekend rainfall forecast....

Good. We need every drop

[tireman4]

Radar Update.....

[Rip76]

HTown dome...

[djmike]

IF this tropical blob goes into northern Mexico, will we still get beneficial rains here in setx? Worried we may be on the outer rim of the rains.

[stormlover]

It’s not going to northern Mexico

[srainhoutx]

IF this tropical blob goes into northern Mexico, will we still get beneficial rains here in setx? Worried we may be on the outer rim of the rains.

The latest GFS suggests you folks in Beaumont and Lake Charles likely will not escape some heavy tropical downpours. Also time to remind folks of quick spin up tropical funnels as moisture levels continue to increase throughout the weekend.

[tireman4]

And is if on cue...alluding to what Srain is talking about...

[tireman4]

One last item of business before this weekend's festivities...this is in reference to what Jeff, Srain and Wxman 57 were speaking of..we have been dry, so it will take a little while for the ground to catch up to saturation points...

[srainhoutx]

Starting to see a scattering of Special Weather Statements regarding the heat of the day storms firing up across the Region...

[stormlover]

Euro is blah models still having a hard time

[srainhoutx]

Euro is blah models still having a hard time

Not so sure about that. Trough is sharper than yesterday at this time and a potent little upper low near Corpus Christi and inland looks to bring some heavy rainfall with some breezy conditions.

[stormlover]

Oh k, maybe I was looking at if wrong

[srainhoutx]

Oh k, maybe I was looking at if wrong

The ECMWF keeps thing going into early Wednesday. A surface low attempts to organize Sunday just offshore of the Corpus Area and then creeps inland and actually strengthens inland. Along the Middle and Upper Texas Coast fresh tropical breezes increase Monday and Tuesday as deep tropical moisture is pulled inland well East of a weak circulation center near the Rio Grande River Valley.

[jasons2k]

I just had about two drops of rain, and then it stopped. Whatever tried to form on me started falling apart the minute it started to rain.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
138 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Western Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Eastern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
South central Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 215 PM CDT.

* At 137 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over South Belt /
Ellington, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Western Pasadena, Pearland, southwestern League City, Missouri
City, Friendswood, Alvin, South Houston, northern Manvel, Greater
Hobby Area, South Belt / Ellington, Fresno, western Clear Lake,
Brookside Village, Golfcrest / Bellfort / Reveille, Minnetex, South
Park, Park Place, Pecan Park, Gulfgate Riverview / Pine Valley and
Ellington Field.

[mcheer23]

EURO showing 20 inches of rain around Cuero, Tx.

Heaviest rain in Houston area is in Brazoria and Ft Bend county ...12 inches in spots.

[jasons2k]

This is so frustrating...it smells like rain, but there isn't any. That outflow undercut whatever was trying to form above me. It looked so promising only to tease me yet again.

I hope 91L doesn't end-up being a Lucy. I have this sinking feeling it might.

[Katdaddy]

Very heavy rain in the Galleria area currently.

[Ounce]

This is so frustrating...it smells like rain, but there isn't any. That outflow undercut whatever was trying to form above me. It looked so promising only to tease me yet again.

I hope 91L doesn't end-up being a Lucy. I have this sinking feeling it might.

I think a couple of years ago I mentioned that you're in the donut hole where it rained all around you, but rarely on you. Welcome back to the donut hole.

[djmike]

so the latest ECMWF shows the Beaumont area escapes any flooding rains. Looks like we would be on the outer fringes if this run was to verify.