July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

[Ptarmigan]

I'm going to get on my soap box a moment. I see some of the Houston local TV showing Harvey flooding as a roll in for Tropical coverage. This is absolutely irresponsible and flat out wrong!!

Harvey is a completely different beast from Invest 92L.

[Pas_Bon]

This comes from a sheer gut feeling.....no morsel of professional meteorology forms a basis for this message.

I feel that the Upper Texas Coast will be Barry’s legacy - whatever that legacy may be.

[Ptarmigan]

Saw this 342 hour GFS forecast model.



It is long range, so it means nothing.

[Scott747]

Oy. This is gonna be tight. It's definitely further w. If it's gonna turn it needs to do it in the next few frames.

[jerryh421]

Oy. This is gonna be tight. It's definitely further w. If it's gonna turn it needs to do it in the next few frames.

And a sharp turn to the north. I was actually a little surprised. It seemed like it was going a little more west...

[mcheer23]

Oy. This is gonna be tight. It's definitely further w. If it's gonna turn it needs to do it in the next few frames.

Shocked by the sudden turn...

[Scott747]

Yeah it stopped on a dime and quickly turned n or ne. Not sure I buy that quick of a movement.

Small trend w though due more to a quicker movement. Ukie will be up soon along with the HWRF and HMON. Should know soon if any trend w is legit.

[mcheer23]

UKMET with a strong hurricane into Galveston.

[Scott747]

Well that escalated quickly....

[srainhoutx]

[stormlover]

How good is the ukmet

[Kingwood36]

Jesus that came quick..guess its our turn to flip flop again

[srainhoutx]

How good is the ukmet

Second best behind the European in the day 5 or less range.

[stormlover]

Mmmm interesting

[Kingwood36]

So i guess its safe to say the models are shifting back towards texas?

[Scott747]

I suspect after scaling back the extent of the range of the 5 day TWO that took us out of it. It will be extended back towards us.

[Rip76]

It’s safe to say I’ll be driving home from Dallas in the morning.

[Scott747]

So i guess its safe to say the models are shifting back towards texas?

I'd say further w but not quite Texas. HWRF and the Euro will give us a better idea.

[Rip76]

So i guess its safe to say the models are shifting back towards texas?

I'd say further w but not quite Texas. HWRF and the Euro will give us a better idea.

When do they come through?

[mcheer23]

So i guess its safe to say the models are shifting back towards texas?

I'd say further w but not quite Texas. HWRF and the Euro will give us a better idea.

When do they come through?

HWRF just started running.

Euro around 1am