August 2020:
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don
- Posts: 3095
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
- Location: Wichita Falls
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18z HWRF has Marco riding the Louisiana coast into Texas in a weakened state, just like the 18z GFS.
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Tx2005
- Posts: 154
- Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:54 am
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HWRF has Laura hitting central LA at 933 mb.
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Cpv17
- Posts: 6746
- Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
- Location: El Campo/Wharton
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HMON has a 923mb Laura into Chambers County.
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Stormlover2020
- Posts: 547
- Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
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18z euro is running
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Cromagnum
- Posts: 2998
- Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
- Location: Georgetown
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HMON and HWRF are scary but also hard to believe
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Tx2005
- Posts: 154
- Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:54 am
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I’ve seen people mention both the hmon and hwrf tend to overdo intensity. Hopefully that’s true.
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Stormlover2020
- Posts: 547
- Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
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Euro maybe 50 miles west of 12z about the same
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Ptarmigan
- Statistical Specialist
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AtascocitaWX
- Posts: 164
- Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:29 pm
- Location: Atascocita,Tx
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So is HMON a reliable model?
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Kingwood36
- Posts: 1592
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- Location: Freeport
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Stormlover2020
- Posts: 547
- Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
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Models have sucked so bad this year
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Waded
- Posts: 81
- Joined: Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:32 pm
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Marco and Laura will make the third and fourth storms this year that raised a bit of a fuss when model runs showed them effecting SETX, only for the storms to go somewhere else with minimal impacts on us.
Yawn. Maybe we will get some legit excitement in September. My house got a shower earlier, so I'm good. Better than nothing, I guess.
Yawn. Maybe we will get some legit excitement in September. My house got a shower earlier, so I'm good. Better than nothing, I guess.
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19697
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
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Levi just installed the new GEFS v12 (parallel) that is going to be operational very soon.
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
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jabcwb2
- Posts: 222
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:43 am
- Location: Magnolia, Texas
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Nothing in the way of even a slight sprinkle in Tomball.
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txbear
- Posts: 249
- Joined: Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:54 pm
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Would be interesting to chronicle the “pin the tail on the donkey” of the models, along with the NHC cones/tracks. I say that with the full acknowledgement that is NOT bashing the NHC. I’m sure it’s been hair-pulling frustrating in their office, if this board is any indication.
ETA: decided to dive into the scotch for the 10pm update run up.
ETA: decided to dive into the scotch for the 10pm update run up.
Last edited by txbear on Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Stormlover2020
- Posts: 547
- Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
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Anybidy have 18z euro ensembles
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6629
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
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Windshield Wiper effect
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snowman65
- Posts: 1347
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
- Location: Orange, Tx
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Is it just me or are the last 2 graphics from NHC the same for both storms?? No changes?