August 2020:
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Kingwood36
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Looks like laura is having a center relocation further south
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Belmer
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I'm not sure which two graphics you're talking about. If you're talking about the forecast cone for both storms, they won't update those until 10pm. The 7pm was just an Intermediate advisory.
Blake
Boomer Sooner
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snowman65
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don
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Yes, it could have implications on Laura's future track.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:11 pm Looks like laura is having a center relocation further south
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Scott747
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Latest G-IV data should be in the 0z runs and will she'd more light on eventual track.
Not sure that was the true center. No real wind associated with it. Disco here in a few will let us know.
Not sure that was the true center. No real wind associated with it. Disco here in a few will let us know.
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Belmer
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I'm thinking the center relocation is further south as well. -80/90C cloud tops blossoming. Hard to tell without visible, but I don't see a llc north of DR. Clearly a mid-level circulation south of DR. Looking at recon possibly a llc around 17.3N and 69.4W. UK model I believe has been the outlier model for a while showing a south of Cuba track. Can't rule it out. Be interesting to see its position and how well it holds together once it gets through Hispaniola. Will it be approaching south of Cuba, through Cuba, north? Good questions. Wait and see...don wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:15 pmYes, it could have implications on Laura's future track.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:11 pm Looks like laura is having a center relocation further south
Blake
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snowman65
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What's yalls gut feeling for the next NHC cone update at 10pm?
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sambucol
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In what way could Laura’s track be affected?don wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:15 pmYes, it could have implications on Laura's future track.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:11 pm Looks like laura is having a center relocation further south
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tireman4
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Well, we have a mystery on our hands gang!
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Kingwood36
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Tx2005
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SCW just posted another update and basically said if Laura tracks south then that likely moves the track to the west.
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Belmer
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Doubtful NHC will make any large adjustments to its track. Might not change much at all, honestly. Evening runs have been in fairly good agreement with the cone they have right now. Especially with respect with the 18z GFS and 18z Euro run. Any significant change in track adjustment, if there is one, likely wouldn't be till the 5am package after the 00z model suite has run through.
Blake
Boomer Sooner
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Cpv17
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Call me crazy but my gut is still telling me Marco is going to Texas.
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Kingwood36
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Cpv17
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Hey I still think it’s a legit option lol
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prospects8903
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Well this is a very uneducated opinion but I feel Texas will possibly have two unwelcome visitors next week...the center relocation of Laura can make huge implications to the track
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DoctorMu
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Farther west.don wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:15 pmYes, it could have implications on Laura's future track.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 9:11 pm Looks like laura is having a center relocation further south
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Kingwood36
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Cone is basically unchanged
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tireman4
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As Belmer called it, I agree. I figure, as he, the 5 am packags might show changes. Get some sleep tonight folks. This will be a long week
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jasons2k
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Today has been a complete roller coaster. After some subtle shifts, Marco appeared to be a lock for the Texas coast, even with the bends in the track.
And yet, here we are...what a difference 12 hours makes.
Anything can happen with such a compact system, especially since the pressure has risen some even before hitting the shear shredder.
The more I look at Marco - I’m not sure the current track is still the right one. The overnight models will be very important.
Laura — still has a ways to go to figure that one out.
And yet, here we are...what a difference 12 hours makes.
Anything can happen with such a compact system, especially since the pressure has risen some even before hitting the shear shredder.
The more I look at Marco - I’m not sure the current track is still the right one. The overnight models will be very important.
Laura — still has a ways to go to figure that one out.