August 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Texaspirate11 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:48 pm Question for pro mets what affect could marco have churning up the waters on Laura??
Consensus yesterday was that Marco was too small to affect the GoM water bath...but I'm interested to see if there's a change in opinion among the Mets. Seems to be less shear on Marco today.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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weatherguy425
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Texaspirate11 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:48 pm Question for pro mets what affect could marco have churning up the waters on Laura??
Minimal to none; small in size and moving quickly. Biggest hurdle with Laura (intensity wise) is the status of it’s core once it leaves Cuba. Well established inner-core as it enters the Gulf? Stronger end result.
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Scott747
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Here we go.

12z Euro initialized perfectly.
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DoctorMu
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Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:58 pm Here we go.

12z Euro initialized perfectly.
My palms are sweating... Gonna need more rum in that Coke Zero.
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vci_guy2003
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How long does the run take ?
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mcheer23
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Looks further north than 00z so far....
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Andrew
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mcheer23 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:14 pm Looks further north than 00z so far....
Yea Louisiana landfall looking likely with that track.
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Stormlover2020
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Yeah that’s what it’s looking that
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txbear
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I’d have to take the time to go back through the pages, but hasn’t the HMON been somewhat on to something for quite a while now? Seems like the general consensus is that it isn’t the overall greatest, but just an observation.

Really glad to have folks like Scott747 and our mets chiming in quite often.
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snowman65
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Andrew wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:17 pm
mcheer23 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:14 pm Looks further north than 00z so far....
Yea Louisiana landfall looking likely with that track.
which one??
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Scott747
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Euro ends up near Houma and much quicker. Wednesday.
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weatherguy425
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mcheer23 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:14 pm Looks further north than 00z so far....
The interaction with Marco is certainly different on this run.
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cperk
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12Z euro shifted East to LA and a lot weaker.
Last edited by cperk on Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Andrew
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snowman65 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:19 pm
Andrew wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:17 pm
mcheer23 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:14 pm Looks further north than 00z so far....
Yea Louisiana landfall looking likely with that track.
which one??
Laura, interestingly enough Marco never actually makes landfall
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davidiowx
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This is one heck of a roller coaster.. Euro now has Laura weak into LA and Marco doesn’t even make landfall. What a nightmare to forecast
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DoctorMu
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Was not prepared for that speed on the Euro track for Laura.
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Andrew
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Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 1:21 pm Euro ends up near Houma and much quicker. Wednesday.
And a lot weaker too which is the concerning part. If we have any type of strong intensification we may see that shift west some.
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Ace
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Seriously? It's back to Louisiana again???? What about HWRF and HMON?
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Kingwood36
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So forecaat will swing back to the east at 4?
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