August 2020:

[Ptarmigan]

Any guesses on possible rainfall amounts from either of these? Any chance they could pull a Harvey or Imelda?

None of the forecast models had them lingering over Texas at this time.

[DoctorMu]

Is the Houston area now in the clear of a hit by Laura? I noticed the NHC cone shifted a little eastward.

Not at all. It will depend on how strong Laura is when she clears Cuba. If Laura's path remains south and there is little disruption by the mountains, then a stronger Laura would mean a more westward path.

[Cpv17]

So if I’m reading into this correctly it appears that a stronger Marco would send Laura further west towards Texas and a weaker Marco would send Laura into Louisiana?

[Kingwood36]

Everytime my kids say Pollo when I'm talking about marco I take a shot...lol you can imagine how my day is going

[Ptarmigan]

Wxman57 states that Marco will be a naked convectionless swirl by Tuesday.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 6#p2839536
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 2#p2839542

[vci_guy2003]

Has anyone verified the forecast from Wxman57 of a Freeport landfall for Laura?

[DoctorMu]

Everytime my kids say Pollo when I'm talking about marco I take a shot...lol you can imagine how my day is going

Marco's calling everyone out as he made it to hurricane force winds.

[Rip76]

Has anyone verified the forecast from Wxman57 of a Freeport landfall for Laura?

I looked and did not find it.

[DoctorMu]

Has anyone verified the forecast from Wxman57 of a Freeport landfall for Laura?

From 'Cane to naked swirl in 48 hours.

Laura goes full black widow on Marco.

[tireman4]

Has anyone verified the forecast from Wxman57 of a Freeport landfall for Laura?

I looked and did not find it.

I think..think he was talking about Marco earlier in the week

[vci_guy2003]

Will it be a naked swirl even if it stays offshore?

[Andrew]

18z GFS still too far north with Laura initialization.

[Cpv17]

Will it be a naked swirl even if it stays offshore?

I think so because of shear? Someone correct me if I’m wrong.

[jasons2k]

Has anyone verified the forecast from Wxman57 of a Freeport landfall for Laura?

I looked and did not find it.

I think..think he was talking about Marco earlier in the week

That's correct. At one time he had a Freeport Landfall for Marco. I have not seen him post a landfall forecast for Laura yet, but he has hinted that he favors the westward trend (as do most mets seem to be doing ATTM).

I was shocked the NHC cone shifted at all. I expect the Euro to come back west especially if Laura manages to skirt mostly south of Cuba.

[jasons2k]

Will it be a naked swirl even if it stays offshore?

I think so because of shear? Someone correct me if I’m wrong.

Yes, Marco gets decapitated and ultimately has little impact on Laura, but he does clear-out the dry air.

[TexasBreeze]

You would think if Marco remnants make it here, the increased moisture would create more daytime activity even as a post tropical low.

[djmike]

Question: i would have thought with the new marco track into setx, why didnt they extend the watches/Warnings? How soon can I expect to get a watch here in Beaumont?

[Andrew]

18z GFS is west

[vci_guy2003]

How far west?

[Scott747]

18z GFS is west

And further s.