August 2020:

[Stormlover2020]

Yes they will I say crystal beach

[sambucol]

Thank you. I’m trying to make a decision whether to board up my house in Baytown. Time is running out.

[Cpv17]

Thank you. I’m trying to make a decision whether to board up my house in Baytown. Time is running out.

I would say yes that you should go ahead and do that. Baytown could definitely be impacted.

[djmike]

New track is just a few miles to the e of Cameron.

They should have just left the track alone in the first place.

[Scott747]

Latest fix is due w of the 4 am advisory.

[cperk]

6Z euro landfall south of Galveston at 955mb.

[Cpv17]

6Z euro landfall south of Galveston at 955mb.

San Luis Pass it looks like. Agrees with the HMON.

[jabcwb2]

Good morning!

Looks like the models are still all over the place this morning and landfall location for Laura is still uncertain.

Just wanted to take a sec and say thank you for the late night /all night/early morning tracking you have been doing to keep us safe. You are appreciated!

[Stormlover2020]

No they are coming together, they aren’t all over the place

[prospects8903]

How am I looking in Orange, Tx?

[Cpv17]

No they are coming together, they aren’t all over the place

I would say anywhere from Rockport to Vermilion Bay could be in the line of fire.

[snowman65]

How am I looking in Orange, Tx?

Hey..I'm in Orange...you're the first one I've seen in here from Orange.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

No they are coming together, they aren’t all over the place

I would say anywhere from Rockport to Vermilion Bay could be in the line of fire.

I’d close that from Rockport to Cameron and I’m beginning to think anything east of TX/LA is going to be a non option after this afternoon.

[christinac2016]

laura:
I've been catching up from over night information. Thanks for those that late nighters who read models.

How is the confidence that Houston/Galveston could get hit?

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Still low. I’m not sure what the NHC is seeing that I am not.

My guess is the strength of the SE ridge.

With that said, I’d make a wager this thing doesn’t go further east than the TX/LA border.

[AtascocitaWX]

6Z euro landfall south of Galveston at 955mb.

San Luis Pass it looks like. Agrees with the HMON.

Thats not good especially if this becomes a Major. they may need to start evacuations today if this becomes consistent with models.

[Kingwood36]

Here in freeport its a wait and see..dont want to leave then it doesn't come here

[srainhoutx]

06Z ECMWF EPS suggest another shift S and W may be possible. Worrisome tracks for a stronger Laura.

[Scott747]

Yikes. Hardly any of the 6z euro ensembles make landfall e of the border.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Yikes. Hardly any of the 6z euro ensembles make landfall e of the border.

Yep... NHC, man. Get it right at next update.

HWRF is furthest east into Cameron