August 2020:

[weatherguy425]

Sustained winds are *estimated to be at 80MPH; no changes to landfall on track. Of course, some landfall adjustments are still possible.

[sau27]

Man did the Euro steal their lunch money or something. Usually they are all over the Euro.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Hey Scott... if I paid Josh, would he let me chase with him?

[snowman65]

Hey Scott... if I paid Josh, would he let me chase with him?

Yall don't have to chase. You can sit in my house and get your fill of everything...lol

[davidiowx]

Man did the Euro steal their lunch money or something. Usually they are all over the Euro.

Lol yea, it is pretty odd to be honest. The storm appears to be heading north of 25N 90W and Levi pointed out that most of the scenarios with the westward track had the storm passing to the south of 25N 90W so that is probably a good reason they keep the track into the TX/LA border.

[Kingwood36]

Stupid question but maybe someone can help me...houston is almost out of the cone and freeport is already out..so why r we still under tropical storm warning?

[davidiowx]

Stupid question but maybe someone can help me...houston is almost out of the cone and freeport is already out..so why r we still under tropical storm warning?

The cone is not perfect, there are still adjustments that can/will likely be made as it approaches land. TS conditions can be felt far from the center of the storm.

[don]

Stupid question but maybe someone can help me...houston is almost out of the cone and freeport is already out..so why r we still under tropical storm warning?

The cone does not represent impact area it just represents the possible area the center of the storm may go.

[Cpv17]

Based on Laura’s movement the past few hours, looks like she’s headed towards Cameron.

[tireman4]

Stupid question but maybe someone can help me...houston is almost out of the cone and freeport is already out..so why r we still under tropical storm warning?

The cone does not represent impact area it just represents the possible area the center of the storm may go.

Agreed. I posted a Wind Map earlier..scroll up. Use that as a point of reference

[DoctorMu]

My prediction is Crystal Beach

That's close to my guess - maybe Capien.

Crystal Beach would crush Goat Island again, like Ike.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Based on Laura’s movement the past few hours, looks like she’s headed towards Cameron.

You’re watching wobbles.

I’d bet money Cameron won’t take a hit.

[jabcwb2]

When will another recon flight take place?

[Cromagnum]

Awaiting further updates from work (near Freeport) and they basically are saying this is business as usual and use our best judgment in deciding whether to come into work the rest of this week.

[jasons2k]

Careful with what we are all observing on satellite today to discern a mean direction or changes in movement. These “fists” of convection that wrap around the center and form the eyewall structure can result in a lot of wobbling of the stack during this process. Things should stabilize again tonight.

Basic physics.

[Cpv17]

Based on Laura’s movement the past few hours, looks like she’s headed towards Cameron.

You’re watching wobbles.

I’d bet money Cameron won’t take a hit.

I wasn’t expecting this much of a northern movement today. Someone posted a graphic a page or two back and it looks like she’s moving nw instead of wnw.

[DoctorMu]

Stupid question but maybe someone can help me...houston is almost out of the cone and freeport is already out..so why r we still under tropical storm warning?

The cone does not represent impact area it just represents the possible area the center of the storm may go.

Agreed. I posted a Wind Map earlier..scroll up. Use that as a point of reference

The cone is about probability, like a confidence interval in statistics. Great for scientists, but not good for the general public. They should use shades or colors (bands), instead of a cone with a hard line.

[Scott747]

Hey Scott... if I paid Josh, would he let me chase with him?

lol. Nah he would politely turn you down.

We're not chasing together because of Covid-19. Trying to socially distance in a major hurricane just isn't gonna work. My wife couldn't find me a n-95 mask that was rated in the 100+ mph range.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Hey Scott... if I paid Josh, would he let me chase with him?

lol. Nah he would politely turn you down.

We're not chasing together because of Covid-19. Trying to socially distance in a major hurricane just isn't gonna work. My wife couldn't find me a n-95 mask that was rated in the 100+ mph range.

LOL, thanks for the feedback. That’s funny.

[AtascocitaWX]

Based on Laura’s movement the past few hours, looks like she’s headed towards Cameron.

You’re watching wobbles.

I’d bet money Cameron won’t take a hit.

I wasn’t expecting this much of a northern movement today. Someone posted a graphic a page or two back and it looks like she’s moving nw instead of wnw.

its wobbles , but its still moving WNW