August 2020:

[Scott747]

It needs or should start turning soon. Hurricane models don't get past 93 and it's closing in on 92 already.

Doesn't look quite nw on the recon fixes either.

[srainhoutx]

Both AF and NOAA RECON reporting rapidly falling pressure in the center. Rapid Intensifying is expected to continue this morning. I am very concerned about the storm surge in the Golden Triangle as well as Lake Charles. This Hurricane is going to be like a buzz saw moving up the Sabine Valley.

[Stormlover2020]

It’s time to watch the hrr model for wobbles and satellite

[Scott747]

It’s time to watch the hrr model for wobbles and satellite

Why would you need to when recon is out there?

Also it looks like it could be making a sharper turn finally.

[Stormlover2020]

It’s time to watch the hrr model for wobbles and satellite

Why would you need to when recon is out there?

Also it looks like it could be making a sharper turn finally.

U still think tx/la border scott

[Scott747]

Border or just e as long as this is the eventual NW turn.

[srainhoutx]

Laura now Major Cat 3 Hurricane. Winds 115 MPH via the 7 AM Advisory

[Snakeswx]

Nice expansion on the western side. I'm basically just watching that left edge for progress westward.. for me. Not so much the eye

[Ace]

North*West?*

I’m also hearing more sustained chatter about more serious concern about a model shift W.

[Ace]

Does NHC just mean that the Tx/La border is Northwest?

[weatherguy425]

Does NHC just mean that the Tx/La border is Northwest?

It is a general term, often depending on the person who is writing. Generally, “northwest” can mean Texas and the western-half of the Louisiana coastline.

[Snakeswx]

Does NHC just mean that the Tx/La border is Northwest?

Yes

[Cromagnum]

This thing means business folks.

[Scott747]

If the models hold, I’m headed to a brick structure on Big Lake (Hackberry side). About 25 miles SSW of Lake Charles

Hackberry won't be safe. PM me if you need to....

[Cromagnum]

Looking at IR posted above it looks like a pretty good wobble to the north.

[weatherguy425]

Looking at IR posted above it looks like a pretty good wobble to the north.

Please be careful judging movement (west or north) using IR. Towering storms rotating around a gradual clearing eye can give very convincing illusions.

[Cromagnum]

Creepy evil grin caught overnight.

[Scott747]

Low level recon is going in for a third fix. Does look like a pretty decent wobble to the n. They will confirm either way here in about 15 min.

[weatherguy425]

Low level recon is going in for a third fix. Does look like a pretty decent wobble to the n. They will confirm either way here in about 15 min.

With rapid deepening and an eyewall in the process of forming - unfortunately this one will be prone to wobbles, at least in the near-term.

[Scott747]

Low level recon is going in for a third fix. Does look like a pretty decent wobble to the n. They will confirm either way here in about 15 min.

With rapid deepening and an eyewall in the process of forming - unfortunately this one will be prone to wobbles, at least in the near-term.

Oh no doubt. I'm guessing that the blended motion will be nw.
,
Still though those wobbles to the left are going to create some serious discomfort for Galveston and the surrounding area.