December 2020

[Katdaddy]

Clouds increasing this morning thanks to an upper level low near the Big Bend which will move across TX this weekend. An area of light rain and scattered showers will be moving across SE TX later this morning and this afternoon. Rain chances remain overnight. Cloudy skies should become partly cloudy Sunday afternoon.

[Cpv17]

Overall there doesn’t really appear to be anything worth talking about for the next week or so.

[DoctorMu]

Yeah, that chance of rain tomorrow night came out of nowhere. We’ll take all we can get with La Nina.

It’s a tad chilly for me but I can’t complain. I know the cold weather lovers are liking this weather and it’s not freezing, so it’s all good. Besides, it’s still only December. It should be chilly for the holidays, right? I’ll be ready for spring on January 2nd though. Enjoy the cooler weather while it lasts folks.

A remarkable glitch for a forecast within 48 hours. Everything is wet enough for December.

[jasons2k]

Looks mild for quite awhile...

[DoctorMu]

Chamber of Commerce weather today. Sunshine, low dewpoint, temps in the low 70s. North Florida winter weather again.

Chance of rain late Friday as a front and upper level trough pass through.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1056 AM CST Tue Dec 8 2020

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

VFR conditions are expected through the period with light west to
southwest winds. 05

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 426 AM CST Tue Dec 8 2020/...


.SHORT TERM [Today through Wednesday Night]...

No major issues are expected for the short-term as SE TX remains
under the influence of the weak surface ridge slowly building in
to the northern Gulf. The light NW winds today should be veering
to the W/SW tonight and tomorrow as this high settles across the
Gulf waters. As such, the mild temperatures today (upper 60s/low
70s) will be warming tomorrow (mid/upper 70s). Lows should range
from the low/mid 40s tonight and in mid/upper 40s tomorrow night
for inland areas....mid/upper 50s at the immediate coast. Other-
wise, rain chances will remain nil for this time frame. 41


.LONG TERM [Thursday through Tuesday]...

As the surface high weakens/moves off to the E/NE, onshore winds
are set to return to SE TX by Thurs. This will help continue the
warming trend with Thurs high temperatures remaining in the mid/
upper 70s range. The S/SE low-level flow should begin ramping up
Thurs night/early Fri morning when the upper trof moves into the
Southern Plains and begins to deepen. This strengthening onshore
flow will help to advect higher PWs in from the Gulf (1.4"-1.6")
and fuel development along a prefrontal trof through the day Fri.
The main cold front (with its colder/drier air) should arrive in
to SE TX Fri night/early Sat morning. Some clearing will be pos-
sible, but there are still some discrepancies with global models
with the long-term. GFS indicating more clearing/drying it drags
the main longwave trof axis fairly quickly to the east. However,
will be trending our extended grids more toward the ECMWF/Canad-
ian/ICON runs which are advocating a slower passage of the upper
trof axis this weekend. And so, did leave some chicken dimes in/
over the Gulf waters on Sat. A secondary front/surge of cold dry
air is progged to move across the CWA Sun and should finally dry
things up here. Our next best chances of rain may be as early as
next Tues/Tues night with the passage of another cold front. 41


.MARINE...

Northwesterly winds today should relax and become southwesterly
tonight as pressures rise over the southwestern Gulf. A weak cold
front pushes down into OK Wednesday and dissipates. Ridging shifts
into the eastern Gulf and opens up longer southerly fetch Thursday
feeding into the next system. This will bring back moisture and if
the winds aren`t too strong (could get into SCEC) and too much dry
air doesn`t mix down then we get some sea fog to form over the cool
shelf waters Thursday night/early Friday. Moderate southerly flow
Friday ahead of the cold front Friday night. Expect SCEC/SCA
conditions before the front arrives and SCA post frontal. Not sure
about shower/thunderstorm coverage over the Gulf waters with
the front given the potential for capping.

45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL) 71 43 75 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 70 46 74 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 67 56 71 61 73 / 0 0 0 0 0

[snowman65]

What fun we were having 3 years ago today.....

[DoctorMu]

What fun we were having 3 years ago today.....

Yes we were!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Great night! Played in the snow until 130 am.

[redneckweather]

Mid January of 2018: Temp dropped to 28 overnight and the moisture set in. By 11am the next day temp dropped to 25 under strong north winds, heavy overcast with intermittent sleet and snow showers the entire day! We had some good accumulating sleet and the snow was just starting to stick on top of the sleet when the system started to pull out. What did accumulate was sleet more than snow...couldn't even build a sleet man out of it.lol

That is the only accumulating winter precip event I have had at my house since I have lived here (20 years). Crazy.

[Cpv17]

Mid January of 2018: Temp dropped to 28 overnight and the moisture set in. By 11am the next day temp dropped to 25 under strong north winds, heavy overcast with intermittent sleet and snow showers the entire day! We had some good accumulating sleet and the snow was just starting to stick on top of the sleet when the system started to pull out. What did accumulate was sleet more than snow...couldn't even build a sleet man out of it.lol

That is the only accumulating winter precip event I have had at my house since I have lived here (20 years). Crazy.

We didn’t really get anything out of that down here in Wharton/El Campo but we’ve had 3 decent snow events since 04. I want to say 04, 09(not sure about that one but it was in early December) and then the one in 17.

[DoctorMu]

Mid January of 2018: Temp dropped to 28 overnight and the moisture set in. By 11am the next day temp dropped to 25 under strong north winds, heavy overcast with intermittent sleet and snow showers the entire day! We had some good accumulating sleet and the snow was just starting to stick on top of the sleet when the system started to pull out. What did accumulate was sleet more than snow...couldn't even build a sleet man out of it.lol

That is the only accumulating winter precip event I have had at my house since I have lived here (20 years). Crazy.

We had an ice storm and light snow in Jan 2018, while Huntsville receive 4+ inches of snow. We alsohad snow flurries that November.

We had 3 ice storms in the 90s, early 00s, but the first big snow we experienced in Texas was

- Christmas Eve 2004. I drove with the kids (who had never seen snow) down to Houston chasing the forecast. We first ran into shower in NW Harris Co. By the time we arrived near my wife's brother's house off Gessner there was 2-3 inches on the ground and accumulating on the highway. Blocks away, the thermostat in the van sticks and the car overheats (in driving snow) knocking out the #1 cylinder. We eased into the only service station left and walked to the brother in law's house. 4+ inches of snow on the ground by then. The kids loved it! True story.

- December 2008: About 2-3 inches

- February 2010: About 2 inches of snow

- March 2013? about an inch

- December 2017 - 5 inches IMBY

- January 2018 - ice and snow

-November 2018 - flurries

6 events in a decade after about 16 years and 2-3 ice storms, and The Big One of X-mas Eve 2004.

[TexasMetBlake]

Greetings! Been a while, y'all...

Anybody heard from Mr. T?

Despite a seemingly boring December, we're still running almost 3 degrees below normal for the month and we'll add to that departure most of the next 7 to 10 days. The positive NAO that we've been dealing with is forecast to go slightly negative so hopefully we'll see some colder air spill in by the end of the year.

Looking into Canada, the temperatures there and in the source region of the Yukon and northern Alaska are extremely unimpressive. Let's hope for some ridging...

[Ptarmigan]

Mid January of 2018: Temp dropped to 28 overnight and the moisture set in. By 11am the next day temp dropped to 25 under strong north winds, heavy overcast with intermittent sleet and snow showers the entire day! We had some good accumulating sleet and the snow was just starting to stick on top of the sleet when the system started to pull out. What did accumulate was sleet more than snow...couldn't even build a sleet man out of it.lol

That is the only accumulating winter precip event I have had at my house since I have lived here (20 years). Crazy.

We had an ice storm and light snow in Jan 2018, while Huntsville receive 4+ inches of snow. We alsohad snow flurries that November.

We had 3 ice storms in the 90s, early 00s, but the first big snow we experienced in Texas was

- Christmas Eve 2004. I drove with the kids (who had never seen snow) down to Houston chasing the forecast. We first ran into shower in NW Harris Co. By the time we arrived near my wife's brother's house off Gessner there was 2-3 inches on the ground and accumulating on the highway. Blocks away, the thermostat in the van sticks and the car overheats (in driving snow) knocking out the #1 cylinder. We eased into the only service station left and walked to the brother in law's house. 4+ inches of snow on the ground by then. The kids loved it! True story.

- December 2008: About 2-3 inches

- February 2010: About 2 inches of snow

- March 2013? about an inch

- December 2017 - 5 inches IMBY

- January 2018 - ice and snow

-November 2018 - flurries

6 events in a decade after about 16 years and 2-3 ice storms, and The Big One of X-mas Eve 2004.

It is March 2014 that there was snow and ice storm.

[Ptarmigan]

Mid January of 2018: Temp dropped to 28 overnight and the moisture set in. By 11am the next day temp dropped to 25 under strong north winds, heavy overcast with intermittent sleet and snow showers the entire day! We had some good accumulating sleet and the snow was just starting to stick on top of the sleet when the system started to pull out. What did accumulate was sleet more than snow...couldn't even build a sleet man out of it.lol

That is the only accumulating winter precip event I have had at my house since I have lived here (20 years). Crazy.

We didn’t really get anything out of that down here in Wharton/El Campo but we’ve had 3 decent snow events since 04. I want to say 04, 09(not sure about that one but it was in early December) and then the one in 17.

There was snow in early December 2009.

[DoctorMu]

Mid January of 2018: Temp dropped to 28 overnight and the moisture set in. By 11am the next day temp dropped to 25 under strong north winds, heavy overcast with intermittent sleet and snow showers the entire day! We had some good accumulating sleet and the snow was just starting to stick on top of the sleet when the system started to pull out. What did accumulate was sleet more than snow...couldn't even build a sleet man out of it.lol

That is the only accumulating winter precip event I have had at my house since I have lived here (20 years). Crazy.

We had an ice storm and light snow in Jan 2018, while Huntsville receive 4+ inches of snow. We alsohad snow flurries that November.

We had 3 ice storms in the 90s, early 00s, but the first big snow we experienced in Texas was

- Christmas Eve 2004. I drove with the kids (who had never seen snow) down to Houston chasing the forecast. We first ran into shower in NW Harris Co. By the time we arrived near my wife's brother's house off Gessner there was 2-3 inches on the ground and accumulating on the highway. Blocks away, the thermostat in the van sticks and the car overheats (in driving snow) knocking out the #1 cylinder. We eased into the only service station left and walked to the brother in law's house. 4+ inches of snow on the ground by then. The kids loved it! True story.

- December 2008: About 2-3 inches

- February 2010: About 2 inches of snow

- March 2013? about an inch

- December 2017 - 5 inches IMBY

- January 2018 - ice and snow

-November 2018 - flurries

6 events in a decade after about 16 years and 2-3 ice storms, and The Big One of X-mas Eve 2004.

It is March 2014 that there was snow and ice storm.

Thanks - Had it narrowed down in my mind as 2013 or 2014. Pure snow up in College Station. We had a couple of big snowfall misses that pummeled Huntsville over the last few years.

[DoctorMu]

We officially have out 2 days of fall. The leaves of the pear and red oak trees in the back yard magically turned red overnight. They will be brown and fall off tomorrow. lol I think this is the first time they've been exactly in phase.

[tireman4]

Greetings! Been a while, y'all...

Anybody heard from Mr. T?

Despite a seemingly boring December, we're still running almost 3 degrees below normal for the month and we'll add to that departure most of the next 7 to 10 days. The positive NAO that we've been dealing with is forecast to go slightly negative so hopefully we'll see some colder air spill in by the end of the year.

Looking into Canada, the temperatures there and in the source region of the Yukon and northern Alaska are extremely unimpressive. Let's hope for some ridging...

Oh my goodness...good to see you

[TexasBreeze]

Haven't seen y'all in awhile, especially Mr. T. Not since the old khou forum days!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Heading to SmokeyMountainSrain’s part of the world next weekend. Give me some cold weather for A&M-UT next weekend Srain!

[Ptarmigan]

We had an ice storm and light snow in Jan 2018, while Huntsville receive 4+ inches of snow. We alsohad snow flurries that November.

We had 3 ice storms in the 90s, early 00s, but the first big snow we experienced in Texas was

- Christmas Eve 2004. I drove with the kids (who had never seen snow) down to Houston chasing the forecast. We first ran into shower in NW Harris Co. By the time we arrived near my wife's brother's house off Gessner there was 2-3 inches on the ground and accumulating on the highway. Blocks away, the thermostat in the van sticks and the car overheats (in driving snow) knocking out the #1 cylinder. We eased into the only service station left and walked to the brother in law's house. 4+ inches of snow on the ground by then. The kids loved it! True story.

- December 2008: About 2-3 inches

- February 2010: About 2 inches of snow

- March 2013? about an inch

- December 2017 - 5 inches IMBY

- January 2018 - ice and snow

-November 2018 - flurries

6 events in a decade after about 16 years and 2-3 ice storms, and The Big One of X-mas Eve 2004.

It is March 2014 that there was snow and ice storm.

Thanks - Had it narrowed down in my mind as 2013 or 2014. Pure snow up in College Station. We had a couple of big snowfall misses that pummeled Huntsville over the last few years.

Your welcome. There were multiple freezing rains in 2013-2014 winter due to the Gulf Of Alaska being warm.