February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
Posts: 2866
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:04 pm https://images.weatherbell.com/model/hr ... 0rioVE.png
Holy moly check out the 00z HRRR model!
Dry slotted for me. Hoping that doesn't happen. Will be miserable to deal with thr pipe busting cold and nothing to show for it.
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5589
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

It is colder in Bay City, Palacios, and Port Lavaca -- even Corpus and points south - than it is up here at my place. Crazy.
Last edited by jasons2k on Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19673
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Attachments
zr_acc.us_sc (4).png
sn10_acc.us_sc (4).png
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
weatherguy425
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 830
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:45 pm
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:06 pm It is colder in Bay City, Palacios, and Port Lavaca -- even Corpus and points south - than it is up here at my place. Crazy.
Physics (density) at its best. So interesting to see!
txsnowmaker
Posts: 635
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
Contact:

tireman4 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:50 pm Live from swim meet ..do you think the NWS estimates are underestimated on accumulations?
Yes
jerryh421
Posts: 41
Joined: Thu Jan 23, 2014 11:43 pm
Location: Houston (Midtown)
Contact:

srainhoutx wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm 00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Love the snowier trend! I hope it continues! :)
txsnowmaker
Posts: 635
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
Contact:

srainhoutx wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm 00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Perfect.
Cpv17
Posts: 6019
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Look out to our south and west. The radar is beginning to light up folks!!
txbear
Posts: 249
Joined: Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:54 pm
Contact:

I’m curious what the aircraft soundings are looking like.
txsnowmaker
Posts: 635
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
Contact:

Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

How is that low out in the gulf looking on Monday? Is it still forecast to move further away from the coast and further into the gulf?
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5589
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Temp steady here for the last two hours.
kyzsl51
Posts: 44
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:10 pm
Contact:

Looks like it's been the same pretty much throughout the state...don't worry the boundary will come!
Cromagnum
Posts: 2866
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Cromagnum
Posts: 2866
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
Stratton20
Posts: 4942
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gf ... 13VQf4.png
00 GFS. run has heavy accumulating snow as far south as columbus, katy, houston etc. Showing some impressive amounts!!
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5589
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
I have my days....when I wish I had become an OCM. I think I could do a better job than some folks in the local market, but not naming names...

I'm pretty good at public speaking (so I'm often told after presentations). I've also been told I do a decent job of taking complex/technical/scientific information and explaining it in ways that anyone can understand.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4162
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

The UK forecasts sub zero temperatures. :shock: :o
https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/244 ... 1200z.html

The forecast models are all over the place.
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 5271
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:16 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm

I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
I have my days....when I wish I had become an OCM. I think I could do a better job than some folks in the local market, but not naming names...

I'm pretty good at public speaking (so I'm often told after presentations). I've also been told I do a decent job of taking complex/technical/scientific information and explaining it in ways that anyone can understand.


Well, there is. online.msstate.edu...:)
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 59 guests