June 2021:

[txbear]

For what it's worth, USAF Hurricane Hunters TDY to Ellington. Suspect will see flights and data soon.

Edit: Looks like they're off on first recon...callsign TEAL95

Thought it was tomorrow???

I honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since returned closer to shore around KGLS.

[Stratton20]

Maybe it was just a test flight?

[Texaspirate11]

For what it's worth, USAF Hurricane Hunters TDY to Ellington. Suspect will see flights and data soon.

Edit: Looks like they're off on first recon...callsign TEAL95

Thought it was tomorrow???

I honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since returned closer to shore around KGLS.

Probably just found a mess

[don]

18Z GFS, you can see the split of energy with the main center close to the upper Texas coast, with a separate piece of energy in Mississippi.The vorticty is also helping to rob moisture away from the main storm. Seems like whats giving the models a hard time is the split of energy that occurs between the main circulation and vorticity on the north side of the storm. In some runs the northern vorticity becomes the main circulation and pulls off to the northeast. While in other runs the models show the main circulation remaining separated from the vorticity to the north.And continuing further west until the trough picks up the storm.

[txbear]

Thought it was tomorrow???

I honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since returned closer to shore around KGLS.

Probably just found a mess

Had a quick minute and checked NHC. You were correct that USAF mission tasking is for tomorrow. Reposition, familiarization, etc today. As I type, TEAL95 has since departed our area for our neighbors along I-35.

[Stratton20]

OFC the GFS trended back to the west, surprise surprise lol

[DoctorMu]

The model watching will drive you crazy.

The forecast for this one is actually pretty straightforward. I don’t expect any significant changes in the thinking between now and landfall.

I ran my sprinklers today.

Yeah, I don't seem anything tricky about this mess. A few showers along the SETX shore, but the bulk of activity in Louisiana and east.

[Stratton20]

As i said we will see , dont jinx it, until we have a defined center of circulation we still arent out of the woods

[jasons2k]

The model watching will drive you crazy.

The forecast for this one is actually pretty straightforward. I don’t expect any significant changes in the thinking between now and landfall.

I ran my sprinklers today.

Yeah, I don't seem anything tricky about this mess. A few showers along the SETX shore, but the bulk of activity in Louisiana and east.

Drive to Biloxi if you want to see any action from this one

[Dls2010r]

Please pass way way east. My ac broke yesterday. 12 days for parts. Ugh

[Dls2010r]

It’s 88 in my house

[davidiowx]

Yikes.. Dls you need to call another A/C company. That’s absurd.

[Stratton20]

Damn! Dude thats awful

[Cromagnum]

Pretty good cells near Mission Bend and Mont Belvieu

[jasons2k]

Yikes.. Dls you need to call another A/C company. That’s absurd.

I'd call around too, but it's probably a common problem right now with ongoing supply chain issues. There are missing parts for a lot of things right now, or just entire products not in anyone's inventory or warehouses right now. Pool heaters are one of them.

Issues related to Covid and the Suez Canal incident. By the way, all the cargo on that ship is being held by the Egyptian government until the claims are settled and the government gets paid. Tens of millions. That process may take years. In the meantime, that inventory is just gonna sit and rot/rust.

[DoctorMu]

The model watching will drive you crazy.

The forecast for this one is actually pretty straightforward. I don’t expect any significant changes in the thinking between now and landfall.

I ran my sprinklers today.

Yeah, I don't seem anything tricky about this mess. A few showers along the SETX shore, but the bulk of activity in Louisiana and east.

Drive to Biloxi if you want to see any action from this one

https://youtu.be/iZXgQrPAgRw

[DoctorMu]

It’s 88 in my house

stratton and kat have an extra room.

[Dls2010r]

It’s a supply chain issue. The company is great.

[Katdaddy]

A few seabreeze thunderstorms this evening that will make a beautiful sunset for some and a wet sunset for others.

[Stratton20]

DoctorMu unfortunately I dont have an extra room