August 2020:
New track is just a few miles to the e of Cameron.
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I was about to post lol
6z ICON goes in closer to Bolivar/High Island. 0z was sw la.
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Gfs is coming in stronger
GFS is 965 mb @48 hrs compared to 991 mb @54 hrs on 0z run.
GFS hits SW Louisiana 955 mb.....previous run was maybe a hair to the East 971 mb
At least it stays away from Houston, but that intensity is scary.
At least it stays away from Houston, but that intensity is scary.
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Looking like la/tx with the consensus
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Ukmet has been money as of nowweatherguy425 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 24, 2020 5:10 am Not, exactly, sure how big of an impact it will have. But, once again, the GFS initialized a bit too far north.
Does the UKMET have a 6z run? If so, when does that start? I think the 0z was just west of Freeport.
Ukie only runs at 0 and 12z. There may be some commercial output on the off hours but I'm not aware of any.
Euro has abbreviated runs on the off hours.
Interesting note. Recon was allowed to cross over Cuban airspace on the way to Laura.
Should know soon if there is still a secondary vort or the original is still the dominant one.
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I’m guessing that puts Houston in the crosshairs then. ![Sad :(](./images/smilies/icon_e_sad.gif)
![Sad :(](./images/smilies/icon_e_sad.gif)
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Oof. That's a big shift w so far on the 6z HMON.
HWRF is about the same as 0z thru 45 hrs.
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