August 2020:
HMON and HWRF have landfall in the same exact spot.
HWRF is at Bolivar to High Island as a strong 4 on Thursday.
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weatherguy425
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Yes, this cycle. If we saw this consistency for a multiple model cycles in a row, we could consider it more of a consensus. It’s important to look at cumulative cycles. Even if models are consistent within one cycle, it doesn’t always mean they’ll remain consistent over time/cycles. There continues to be big shifts cycle to cycle.
We'll know a lot more after Laura clears Cuba, but at least the models have data to work with and the initial conditions appear to be a lot more accurate...
Just keep her away from me.....
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tireman4
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 232346
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
646 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2020
.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...
VFR for all terminals, with northeast winds becoming light/vrb
this evening, and increasing again tomorrow, reaching around 10
knots for the afternoon (with a slight veer from more
northeasterly to more easterly through the day). Like today,
should see some isolated diurnal showers/storms. Only enough
confidence for VCs at LBX and GLS, though there is a non-zero shot
everywhere.
FXUS64 KHGX 232346
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
646 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2020
.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...
VFR for all terminals, with northeast winds becoming light/vrb
this evening, and increasing again tomorrow, reaching around 10
knots for the afternoon (with a slight veer from more
northeasterly to more easterly through the day). Like today,
should see some isolated diurnal showers/storms. Only enough
confidence for VCs at LBX and GLS, though there is a non-zero shot
everywhere.
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Stormlover2020
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I mean I just don’t know what the euro is doing
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vci_guy2003
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What is the Euro showing?
New Orleans according to a graphic posted on s2k.
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weatherguy425
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Stormlover2020
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weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 7:40 pmProbably the 12Z?
What is going on with the euro
18z has it going towards NOLA too, I believe.weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 7:40 pmProbably the 12Z?
NHC cones haven't really changed at 7/8 pm since this afternoon. They are taking a knee until there is model and ensemble clarity...and Laura clears Cuba.
I’m wondering if you’re referring to what they recently showed on TWC. If so, Marco dancing around off shore of Texas isn’t even funny. I saw it on there and was like WTF is this!
I keep losing my usernames. Formerly vertigoss/seanatsk.
Survived Ike in Katy, Harvey in Dickinson and Allison in my car.
Survived Ike in Katy, Harvey in Dickinson and Allison in my car.
I wonder when they are going to call for evacuations. I know there is still tons of uncertainty but we are only a few days out. What a mess.
Someone asked earlier about storm shutters. I don’t know the right answer but my neighbor put almost all of his second floor shutters on today. I’m going to get mine out of the shed tomorrow and get them ready to possibly install on Tuesday.
I keep losing my usernames. Formerly vertigoss/seanatsk.
Survived Ike in Katy, Harvey in Dickinson and Allison in my car.
Survived Ike in Katy, Harvey in Dickinson and Allison in my car.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Kingwood36
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Looks like they are shifting back east.....imagine that