February 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Will it be cold? Will we have wintry mischief?
Cpv17
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tireman4 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:26 am Will it be cold? Will we have wintry mischief?
Hopefully yes to both!!
Stratton20
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The whole month looks cold, should be a fun ride!
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sambucol
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I’m ready. Real winter for February.
Cpv17
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sambucol wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:17 am I’m ready. Real winter for February.
I’m ready for snow and more temps in the teens and twenties.
Thundersleet
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Here here, bring on more Winter ❄️!
Stratton20
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we will have to watch for any potential affects from the SSWE that just occured a few days ago, around mid february ( 12th and beyond, Im thinking we start off the first couple of days in february on the mild side, but then transition towards a much colder regime after the first week
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sambucol
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From Larry Cosgrove in response to my question about winter weather returning to SETX:

Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.
Stratton20
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I think so to, im seeing signs of another -NAO signature beginning to take shape on the ensembles in the 11-15 day period, starting to see that ridging over the US retrograding into canada
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sambucol
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Larry is very good at forecasting. I’m leaving my winter preps in place.
Stratton20
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Looks like the operational models are showing the ridge retrograding into north canada, new ridge building over alaska, higher heights building over greenland, and a active STJ, February looks like a fun month, ensembles/ weeklies keep a -NAO/- AO pattern established for the entire month
Cpv17
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The CPC has already placed parts of southeast TX in another moderate risk for excessive rainfall from the February 3rd-5th timeframe.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 24, 2024 4:57 pm Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that
It’s possible there will be a bigger risk for flooding next time around because the grounds are already saturated.
Pas_Bon
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Jan 24, 2024 5:17 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 24, 2024 4:57 pm Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that
It’s possible there will be a bigger risk for flooding next time around because the grounds are already saturated.
Whoa It rained? :mrgreen:
Stratton20
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Blocking showing up on the operational models now, while i believe this will be a slow flip to cold, I do see alot lining up for a very interesting february
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djmike
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Happy February! Anything cold on the horizon?
Mike
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(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
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djmike wrote: Thu Feb 01, 2024 12:57 pm Happy February! Anything cold on the horizon?
After the 10th it’s possible but not a lot of confidence in that rn.
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sambucol
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 25, 2024 2:06 pm Blocking showing up on the operational models now, while i believe this will be a slow flip to cold, I do see alot lining up for a very interesting february
Larry Cosgrove agrees
Thundersleet
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So, after that brief arctic outbreak during the middle of last month we get a month or nearly that length of time of Springlike weather? Am I gathering, understanding, or perceiving that correctly or right? If that is the case then personally, I would not mind if most if not all of March turns out to be Winter like and early Spring turns out to be a little below average. I say all of this now, but, that is how I feel about it.
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