November 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Cpv17 its a good start though, given its an arcric airmass i have doupt the globals will probably be too warm, I think the ICON migjt be a good one to follow for that, and its definitely colder than the euro
Canadian is close to showing wintry precip in SE tx with temps in the mid 30’s
brazoriatx
Posts: 349
Joined: Tue Nov 08, 2011 12:09 pm
Contact:

Off topic but where the hell is the fall thread on s2k?
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

brazoriatx go to US and caribbean weather, and you should see texas fall 2023
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

CMC 12z has a winter storm over the state as a coastal low gets cranking, gets close to showing wintry precip in parts of se texas with temps in the mid- upper 30’s, coastal low is too close to the coast as well, the model does show the baja low is still moving slowly west so maybe it could send a couple of impulses of energy, 12z euro will be interesting
brazoriatx
Posts: 349
Joined: Tue Nov 08, 2011 12:09 pm
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 10:59 am CMC 12z has a winter storm over the state as a coastal low gets cranking, gets close to showing wintry precip in parts of se texas with temps in the mid- upper 30’s, coastal low is too close to the coast as well, the model does show the baja low is still moving slowly west so maybe it could send a couple of impulses of energy, 12z euro will be interesting
So we want the low further away from the coast? What day are we talking here
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

brwzoriatx probably the sunday-monday timeframe next week, and yes we want the low further off shore because the closer it is to shore, it will be able to bring in more mild air, keeping everything liquid, still a lot of uncertainty in the forecast though
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1049
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

Bring it!!
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

For now I wouldnt get youre hopes up, it is still november after all, though it definitely is an interesting pattern shaping up, lots to watch, right now id just expect a chilly rain locally, but we will see
Cromagnum
Posts: 2738
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

brazoriatx wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 5:14 pm Off topic but where the hell is the fall thread on s2k?
We haven't had a fall really.
Cpv17
Posts: 5586
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 1:25 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 5:14 pm Off topic but where the hell is the fall thread on s2k?
We haven't had a fall really.
I’d say otherwise.
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

It looks like once this cold snap arrives, we stay below normal through at least the first week of december with above average precipitation according to the CPC
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5986
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 1:20 pm
don wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 12:48 pm The pattern is looking more and more interesting after the 20th.Very El Nino,with models showing a potent cut off Baja Low.

Image
That’s what you love to see. Love when those systems dig down deep into the Baja like that.
Sustained cool weather on the way!
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5986
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 2:34 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 1:25 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 5:14 pm Off topic but where the hell is the fall thread on s2k?
We haven't had a fall really.
I’d say otherwise.
We haven't, but be prepared for an OG Fall stretch like the early 90s.
Cpv17
Posts: 5586
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

DoctorMu wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 3:05 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 2:34 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 1:25 pm

We haven't had a fall really.
I’d say otherwise.
We haven't, but be prepared for an OG Fall stretch like the early 90s.
Like I said, I’d say otherwise. You people in here wanna act like we live in north Texas. We’ve had plenty of fall like weather here for southeast Texas standards in the past month. It just started late. But so does every season these days.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5986
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Only 6 days with highs below 70° in CLL. Cooler than 2 years ago at least

We did have 90s until late October. Halloween was the first break from summer, but it lasted about 3 days.

Back in the 1980s, days in the 60s in October were more common.

this November we've had 9 days of 75°+ and 6 days in the 80s out of 18. The average high in CLL is 68°-69° now.

Beginning Tuesday we have a potential 2.5-3 week stretch of 50s, low 60s with no 70s. I haven't seen that kind of weather around Thanksgiving and early December in nearly 30 years. The last few years we've hitting 70 degree Dew Points early and often in November and December. Again, since Halloween it's better than 2022 and 2021, but that's not saying much. lol
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5986
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

We had perfect weather in Washington DC. Sunny and upper 50s.

Thanksgiving Eve and Thanksgiving look like around 60 degrees and sunshine. Perfect.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2738
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 3:23 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 3:05 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 2:34 pm

I’d say otherwise.
We haven't, but be prepared for an OG Fall stretch like the early 90s.
Like I said, I’d say otherwise. You people in here wanna act like we live in north Texas. We’ve had plenty of fall like weather here for southeast Texas standards in the past month. It just started late. But so does every season these days.
We have had less than a week of fall weather. It's been mid 80s and humid nearly the entire time. As a kid I remember going to football games on Friday night and it frequently being chilly if not cold. It's been shorts and t-shirt weather for all but maybe one of them.
user:null
Posts: 419
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2022 7:04 pm
Location: The Land of Sugar
Contact:

brazoriatx wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 11:34 amSo we want the low further away from the coast? What day are we talking here
Stratton20 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 11:53 am brwzoriatx probably the sunday-monday timeframe next week, and yes we want the low further off shore because the closer it is to shore, it will be able to bring in more mild air, keeping everything liquid, still a lot of uncertainty in the forecast though
Nah, no "want" for me — the cold frozen precip is useless. The mildly cooler solutions (like featured on today's 12z EURO) are much better.
Last edited by user:null on Sun Nov 19, 2023 7:32 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Stratton20
Posts: 4472
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

user:null no thanks, ill take the cold and wintry precip over mildly weather, im the exact opposite lol
Cpv17
Posts: 5586
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 4:14 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 3:23 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Nov 19, 2023 3:05 pm

We haven't, but be prepared for an OG Fall stretch like the early 90s.
Like I said, I’d say otherwise. You people in here wanna act like we live in north Texas. We’ve had plenty of fall like weather here for southeast Texas standards in the past month. It just started late. But so does every season these days.
We have had less than a week of fall weather. It's been mid 80s and humid nearly the entire time. As a kid I remember going to football games on Friday night and it frequently being chilly if not cold. It's been shorts and t-shirt weather for all but maybe one of them.
It’s been cool ever since Halloween with the exception of a few days. I don’t know what else you could possibly want. You need to realize that seasons don’t start on time these days. Everything is pushed back. This past week we had highs in the 60’s and 70’s. That’s fall weather for us.
Post Reply
  • Information