August 2021: Major Hurricane Ida/SE Louisiana Landfall

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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We don’t have a generator yet so I’m not stocking-up on anything except gas. If it comes here, we’re emptying the fridge and driving to Austin. That’s what we did during Ike and we watched KHOU on a special channel and watched the lines and lines of people waiting for gas and ice, etc., for hours in the miserable heat. No thanks.
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tireman4
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:00 am We don’t have a generator yet so I’m not stocking-up on anything except gas. If it comes here, we’re emptying the fridge and driving to Austin. That’s what we did during Ike and we watched KHOU on a special channel and watched the lines and lines of people waiting for gas and ice, etc., for hours in the miserable heat. No thanks.
But remember Jason, Ike did pull a cold front down after he left, so the days and nights were somewhat pleasant, albeit without power.
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don
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6Z EURO ensembles
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Last edited by don on Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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tireman4
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don wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:18 am6Z EURO ensembles
A slow tightening of the Euro ensembles, but still WAY too early for any prognostications. Thank you for the share Don.
Stratton20
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Im gonna admit seeing the models especially the GFS show the potential for a Cat 5 is making me a bit uncomfortable , I know the trend has been Lousiana but man I would absolutely hate for them to be hit again,that would just be awful
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don wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:18 am6Z EURO ensembles
Hmm. Without looking at the upper level charts that almost suggests a little less trough interaction with the ridge not eroding as much to the e. Hints at a possible change with the 12z run.
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Scott747 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:26 am
don wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:18 am6Z EURO ensembles
Hmm. Without looking at the upper level charts that almost suggests a little less trough interaction with the ridge not eroding as much to the e. Hints at a possible change with the 12z run.
Again, nit-picking of me at this point because it's so early in the game -BUT - the 06Z ECMWF operational did shift west a tad as well with a landfall in Jefferson County or right along the border.
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snowman65
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bring it....blow my entire house down...tired of it...please make me move...finally.
Stratton20
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Snowman65 WTF, be careful what you wish for
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snowman65 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:50 am bring it....blow my entire house down...tired of it...please make me move...finally.
Far too early to go realtor hunting. ;)
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tireman4
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snowman65 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:50 am bring it....blow my entire house down...tired of it...please make me move...finally.
Did you not say that last year, sir?
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snowman65
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tireman4 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:51 am
snowman65 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:50 am bring it....blow my entire house down...tired of it...please make me move...finally.
Did you not say that last year, sir?
yes, but Laura left a big mess but house was still standing.
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CRASHWX
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We have time…a lot to look at with this storm…right now the models are like a sniper trying to hit a target a mile away in a high wind that is constantly changing direction. JMO
:ugeek: CRASHWX :ugeek:
vci_guy2003
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What are the models saying about intensity?
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Texaspirate11
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I just think the people in Louisiana just dont need any more misery..... : :(
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AtascocitaWX
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:21 am Im gonna admit seeing the models especially the GFS show the potential for a Cat 5 is making me a bit uncomfortable , I know the trend has been Lousiana but man I would absolutely hate for them to be hit again,that would just be awful
Cat 5 Really?
Stormlover2020
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There is no Trend don’t even have a storm out there
Stratton20
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AtascositaWX well gfs has oressure down to low 940’s upper 930’s before landfall so im just assuming thats near a cat 5 criteria
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snowman65
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 10:05 am There is no Trend don’t even have a storm out there
but we all know its coming.....dont we 😉
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snowman65 wrote: Wed Aug 25, 2021 9:50 am bring it....blow my entire house down...tired of it...please make me move...finally.
My husband said, "That's it, we're moving if I have to evacuate again!"
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