February 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Latest GFS looks great for mid February!!
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jasons2k
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It's 66 here, should warm up a little more if the sun can break through. I'm about to go on a lunchtime run - the last run for several days.
sau27
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:13 pm Latest GFS looks great for mid February!!
For the past few days I have bee noticing it wants to release a cold dump somewhere in the US around the Valentines Day period.
mcheer23
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WWA issued
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Cpv17
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sau27 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:20 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:13 pm Latest GFS looks great for mid February!!
For the past few days I have bee noticing it wants to release a cold dump somewhere in the US around the Valentines Day period.
Yeah I’ve been noticing the same thing. Btw I just got the winter weather advisory on my phone for Wharton County.
dp6
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don wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:34 am Here we go..wasn't expecting that this early since HGX tends to be more conservative than some of the surrounding WFO.
Really annoying how the Houston NWS office seems to usually be a day behind the private mets. Been like that for years. (I've also noticed that for some reason they seem to never issue a Hazardous Weather Outlook in their region, unlike all the other surrounding offices.)

I need to quit wasting time going to their website for anything other than current or short term info.

I haven't noticed similar issues for the DFW or Austin/SA offices, at least not to the same extent. DFW has been pretty close to the private mets on this storm (though to be fair, that was probably an easier call for that area on this particular storm.)
Last edited by dp6 on Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
mcheer23
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Winter Storm Warning for CS
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don
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

TXZ164-177-178-199-212-213-226-227-030200-
/O.EXB.KHGX.WW.Y.0002.220203T2000Z-220204T1500Z/
Trinity-Walker-San Jacinto-Montgomery-Waller-Inland Harris-
Wharton-Fort Bend-
Including the cities of Trinity, Groveton, Huntsville, Shepherd,
Coldspring, Conroe, The Woodlands, Hempstead, Prairie View,
Brookshire, Waller, Houston, El Campo, Wharton, Missouri City,
Mission Bend, Sugar Land, Rosenberg, First Colony,
and Pecan Grove
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

* WHERE...Trinity, Walker, San Jacinto, Montgomery, Waller, Inland
Harris, Wharton and Fort Bend Counties.

* IMPACTS...Mix of light freezing rain and ice pellets possible
for these areas. Ice accumulations up to a tenth of an inch is
possible. Slippery conditions may develop especially on
elevated roadways, bridges and overpasses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

TXZ163-176-195-196-030200-
/O.UPG.KHGX.WW.Y.0002.220203T1200Z-220204T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.WS.W.0001.220203T1200Z-220204T1500Z/
Houston-Madison-Burleson-Brazos-
Including the cities of Crockett, Madisonville, Caldwell,
Somerville, College Station, and Bryan
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain and sleet expected. Ice accumulations over
an eighth of an inch will be possible.

* WHERE...Brazos, Burleson, Houston, and Madison Counties.

* WHEN...From early Thursday morning to 9AM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Icy conditions may develop especially on elevated
roadways, bridges and overpasses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for freezing rain and/or sleet means that
a winter storm system is impacting the area with significant
amounts of freezing rain and/or sleet. Travel is likely to be
impacted.

&&
Last edited by don on Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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So no WWA for brazoria county?
mcheer23
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EURO now shows the secondary disturbance as well. Slides up the coastal counties Friday morning..
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tireman4
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dp6 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:25 pm
don wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:34 am Here we go..wasn't expecting that this early since HGX tends to be more conservative than some of the surrounding WFO.
Really annoying how the Houston NWS office seems to usually be a day behind the private mets. Been like that for years. (I've also noticed that for some reason they seem to never issue a Hazardous Weather Outlook in their region, unlike all the other surrounding offices.)

I need to quit wasting time going to their website for anything other than current or short term info.

I haven't noticed similar issues for the DFW or Austin/SA offices, at least not to the same extent. DFW has been pretty close to the private mets on this storm (though to be fair, that was probably an easier call for that area on this particular storm.)

Give them time. Sometimes being prudent is the right thing to do. Those folks have forgotten more about meteorology than I will ever know. :)
Kingwood36
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So us in Brazoria County won't get a WWA?
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sambucol
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:51 am Will it be extended to the coastal counties?
I’m preparing as if it will.
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don
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The advisory window is pretty long from 2pm Thursday-9am Friday.Looks like they may be taking to a count the second disturbance the models show coming through overnight. ;)
mcheer23
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sambucol wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:37 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:51 am Will it be extended to the coastal counties?
I’m preparing as if it will.
If the models keep showing the second disturbance Friday AM , Yes.
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don
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:36 pm So us in Brazoria County won't get a WWA?
With the trend of the models showing a disturbance riding along the coast overnight Thursday/Friday morning,I would expect the coastal counties to be added eventually.
Stratton20
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Winter storm warning has been issued for my area
Cpv17
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mcheer23 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:27 pm Winter Storm Warning for CS
Based on the trends, I’m expecting those warnings to be issued for counties further south at some point over the next 24 hours.
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DoctorMu
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mcheer23 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:24 pmWWA issued
Going as expected. Winter Storm Warning for up in CLL.
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:32 pm
dp6 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:25 pm
don wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:34 am Here we go..wasn't expecting that this early since HGX tends to be more conservative than some of the surrounding WFO.
Really annoying how the Houston NWS office seems to usually be a day behind the private mets. Been like that for years. (I've also noticed that for some reason they seem to never issue a Hazardous Weather Outlook in their region, unlike all the other surrounding offices.)

I need to quit wasting time going to their website for anything other than current or short term info.

I haven't noticed similar issues for the DFW or Austin/SA offices, at least not to the same extent. DFW has been pretty close to the private mets on this storm (though to be fair, that was probably an easier call for that area on this particular storm.)

Give them time. Sometimes being prudent is the right thing to do. Those folks have forgotten more about meteorology than I will ever know. :)
Get the bridges prepped. It's nearly too late to prepare much at home.
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