December 2022

[bdog38]

when the forecasters use 30% below normal temps, means prepare.

[DoctorMu]

Storms in West Texas have exploded:

https://twitter.com/VortixWx/status/1602503986099400704

This ULL is fierce

This is going to be a system that generates both tornados and feet of snow. Then drags down arctic air. Remarkable.

[DoctorMu]

Worst case scenario, Wxman 57 says, his private jet and pilot are ready for a trip to Sydney. Lol I am with you on your numbers.

He better start making vegemite sammiches.

[Stratton20]

00z Euro is very cold with a winter storm developing in the state

[DoctorMu]

00z Euro is very cold with a winter storm developing in the state

Euro has an ice storm on the 22nd.

[brazoriatx]

00z Euro is very cold with a winter storm developing in the state

Euro has an ice storm on the 22nd.

For our area?

[sambucol]

00z Euro is very cold with a winter storm developing in the state

Euro has an ice storm on the 22nd.

Is it showing an ice storm for the entire state?

[Harveyvsallison]

00z Euro is very cold with a winter storm developing in the state

Euro has an ice storm on the 22nd.

Is it showing an ice storm for the entire state?

The Euro has an ice storm over southeast Texas but it’s all freezing rain. The models aren’t showing much cold for southeast Texas. Record breaking temps for Kansas and Oklahoma. However, don’t expect a record breaking event in southeast Texas. Keep watching

[Harveyvsallison]

GFS is dry and cold around Christmas. Lows in the low 20’s highs in the low 30’s for December 23-26. CMC shows very cold air moving in. CMC ensemble mean shows below freezing temps north of I-10 for 72 hours. Very dry however. Models aren’t locked in fully as of yet.

[redneckweather]

Very cold air moving in before Christmas but nothing earth shattering or what I would call historic, thankfully. Looks like a dry run on the GFS and a few other models. Hopefully that's the end of that and we see a trend for a more wintry weather solution during this period over the next few days.

[sambucol]

Euro has an ice storm on the 22nd.

Is it showing an ice storm for the entire state?

The Euro has an ice storm over southeast Texas but it’s all freezing rain.

Got it. You’re saying the 00z Euro is showing an ice storm over SETX.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Is it showing an ice storm for the entire state?

The Euro has an ice storm over southeast Texas but it’s all freezing rain.

Got it. You’re saying the 00z Euro is showing an ice storm over SETX.

Correct.

Models underestimating temps IMO. If those highs verify and the snowpack that is already being laid down right now is as deep as they say, those temps will end up being an easy 7-10 colder.

[Cpv17]

The Euro has an ice storm over southeast Texas but it’s all freezing rain.

Got it. You’re saying the 00z Euro is showing an ice storm over SETX.

Correct.

Models underestimating temps IMO. If those highs verify and the snowpack that is already being laid down right now is as deep as they say, those temps will end up being an easy 7-10 colder.

With the strength of the HP’s being forecasted those temps will likely be much colder than what the operationals are currently showing.

[brazoriatx]

Models always seem to under estimate cold temps this far our. Give it till Sunday or Monday and we should have a much clearer understanding. As of now it's all speculation

[Harveyvsallison]

The Euro has an ice storm over southeast Texas but it’s all freezing rain.

Got it. You’re saying the 00z Euro is showing an ice storm over SETX.

Correct.

Models underestimating temps IMO. If those highs verify and the snowpack that is already being laid down right now is as deep as they say, those temps will end up being an easy 7-10 colder.

I agree, models haven’t fully picked up on this yet. However, if you give it a few days models will start converging

[Harveyvsallison]

Okay well the Euro has mostly rain for southeast Texas and an ice storm from DFW south all the way down to Huntsville. The GFS shows all rain. The CMC is dry but the models are flip flopping

[redneckweather]

GFS shows us plenty cold during the 23rd-25th time frame for wintry precip if we can get a coastal low to get cranking. Looks like lows in the teens and highs in the 20's during this time frame. I personally do NOT want it any colder than that.lol

[MontgomeryCoWx]

GFS shows us plenty cold during the 23rd-25th time frame for wintry precip if we can get a coastal low to get cranking. Looks like lows in the teens and highs in the 20's during this time frame. I personally do NOT want it any colder than that.lol

Perfect hunting weather in CoCo over Christmas. My new Sitka gear will be needed.

[Harveyvsallison]

GFS shows us plenty cold during the 23rd-25th time frame for wintry precip if we can get a coastal low to get cranking. Looks like lows in the teens and highs in the 20's during this time frame. I personally do NOT want it any colder than that.lol

Lows could get as far down as 0. Right now the worst of it is focused on Kansas and Oklahoma. Models are shifting south. Just prepare now my fellow houstonians. I just moved to Kansas but am watching this

[Cpv17]

With the PNA around neutral, this should funnel the coldest anomalies deep into Texas.