December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
brazoriatx
Posts: 409
Joined: Tue Nov 08, 2011 12:09 pm
Contact:

Khou has highs in the 40s next weekend..that's gotta be wrong
Cpv17
Posts: 6019
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

brazoriatx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 7:15 pm Khou has highs in the 40s next weekend..that's gotta be wrong
They gotta play it safe this far out and stay as close to climo as they can. Forecasts by Tuesday/Wednesday will be different.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4162
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

brazoriatx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 7:15 pm Khou has highs in the 40s next weekend..that's gotta be wrong
I think it will change.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

vci_guy2003 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 3:55 pm They can’t even get today’s weather correctly. We are screwed next week.
The cold is way overperforming already in CLL.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

-40s in the Yukon.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

NWS released a weather statement for CLL re: the arctic front. The NWS high for Friday is now progged at 29°F and that is probably being generous. I'll go with a High = 26°F and Low of 11°F, but single digits are possible with a wind chill that is subzero.

It will be Monday or Tuesday before we know more about precip and wintry mischief.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

As you might suspect, the 18z GFS has trended westward ho! with the cold air. Way in the 1060s for peak high pressure. Really tight gradient. The winds will be howling.
Attachments
gfs_T2m_us_28.png
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2411
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Give me 3 mornings in the single digits/teens and highs in the 20z and I’ll be happy
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4162
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 8:43 pm Give me 3 mornings in the single digits/teens and highs in the 20z and I’ll be happy
The closest were there are single digit lows and highs in 20s would be in February 1899, January 1930, and December 1989.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2411
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Ptarmigan wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:03 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 8:43 pm Give me 3 mornings in the single digits/teens and highs in the 20z and I’ll be happy
The closest were there are single digit lows and highs in 20s would be in February 1899, January 1930, and December 1989.
I can always count on you! :lol:
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4162
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:09 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:03 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 8:43 pm Give me 3 mornings in the single digits/teens and highs in the 20z and I’ll be happy
The closest were there are single digit lows and highs in 20s would be in February 1899, January 1930, and December 1989.
I can always count on you! :lol:
Thank you. 8-) There is always something that has happened. :o :lol:
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2411
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

GFS has shifted waayyyy west. Heyooooo

The bourbon and 0z GFS have me excited
Team #NeverSummer
Cpv17
Posts: 6019
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:38 pm GFS has shifted waayyyy west. Heyooooo
Look at the ridging it has in the NE compared to previous runs.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2411
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Lol, I hope that happens.

The NE dweebs have been in a circle jerk about this storm. It would warm my heart to see us get more than them.
Team #NeverSummer
Stratton20
Posts: 4943
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

00z CMC is way colder, highs in the low 20’s now
redneckweather
Posts: 1024
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:29 pm
Location: Montgomery, Texas
Contact:

GFS looks down right cold but....no precip.
txsnowmaker
Posts: 635
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
Contact:

Channel 13 has 19 for the low in Houston next Friday.

https://abc13.com/weather/
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:56 pm 00z CMC is way colder, highs in the low 20’s now
CMC nailed the Feb 21 winter storm. 3.5 days below freezing.

Feb 15: Hi 20 Lo 9
Feb 16 : Hi 27 Lo 5
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1103
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

I’m wondering how many hours we will be below freezing in the Houston area.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Imagine if we got some snow and cranked up the albedo...
Attachments
gem-ens_T2m_us_27.png
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 6 guests