May 2021:
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Stratton20
- Posts: 4942
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Flashflood watch issued starting today-Thursday 7 Am. Definitely am really concerned about wednesday and thursday, wouldnt be shocked to see some parts of SE Texas put under a high risk of flash flooding
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
206 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 515 PM CDT.
* At 206 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 6 inches of rain
have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Doppler radar.
IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other
drainage and low lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Northeastern Liberty, Ames, Daisetta, Hardin, Plum Grove,
Kenefick, Devers, Dayton Lakes and Moss Hill.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Excessive run off from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.
Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
206 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 515 PM CDT.
* At 206 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 6 inches of rain
have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Doppler radar.
IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other
drainage and low lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Northeastern Liberty, Ames, Daisetta, Hardin, Plum Grove,
Kenefick, Devers, Dayton Lakes and Moss Hill.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Excessive run off from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.
Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.
How is Port Arthur fairing right now?
I don't like the look of the radar right now, im concerned about storm mergers this afternoon as both storm complexes are colliding with each other over the area.
Some street flooding near the front of Kingwood and my wife said its been some of the loudest thunder she's ever experienced.
That shortwave ejecting to the SW is gonna cause some problems.
Port Arthur Mid County is flooded. IH-10 Eastbound is completely shutdown between Winnie and Beaumont from being flooded. 17” has fallen in the Winnie Hamshire Fannett area and homes are being flooded now. Pretty much all feeders in Beaumont are under water. Rain has finally slowed here thank goodness but its very concerning knowing we are only at day 1 of this week long event. Local met said he would not be surprised to see local area reaching 2 feet of rain by time this weekend rolls around. Hell, we just about got more than half of that today, so I would have to agree with him. Also concerning seeing Harvey Imelda totals just from a one day system/storm. Things are changing. Gonna be a bumpy ride this week.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
WPC has upgraded the eastern half of southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana into a Moderate risk for today.
Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
404 PM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Day 1
Valid 2001Z Mon May 17 2021 - 12Z Tue May 18 2021
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...
2000 UTC discussion
Upgraded a portion of the Central Gulf Coast to a Moderate Risk
for ongoing flash flooding as convection continues to impact the
region. Also pulled the Slight Risk to the west in TX. Anticipate
training to continue through the next several hours until the
shortwave and associated surface boundary in central TX helps to
push activity south and east late this afternoon. Additional
rainfall of 3-5 inches in some locations is expected with
scattered to widespread significant flash flooding likely. MPD
#191 has been issued which goes into a bit more detail regarding
the mesoscale features and evolution through the next several
hours.
Pagano
Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
404 PM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Day 1
Valid 2001Z Mon May 17 2021 - 12Z Tue May 18 2021
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...
2000 UTC discussion
Upgraded a portion of the Central Gulf Coast to a Moderate Risk
for ongoing flash flooding as convection continues to impact the
region. Also pulled the Slight Risk to the west in TX. Anticipate
training to continue through the next several hours until the
shortwave and associated surface boundary in central TX helps to
push activity south and east late this afternoon. Additional
rainfall of 3-5 inches in some locations is expected with
scattered to widespread significant flash flooding likely. MPD
#191 has been issued which goes into a bit more detail regarding
the mesoscale features and evolution through the next several
hours.
Pagano
- Attachments
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
321 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 630 PM CDT.
* At 321 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
The gauge at Cedar Bayou and FM 1960 received 4.08 inches in the
last hour.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Doppler radar.
IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other
drainage and low lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Northern Baytown, Humble, Liberty, Dayton, Barrett, Highlands,
Channelview, Cloverleaf, Kingwood, Spring, Crosby, Mont Belvieu,
Anahuac, Old River-Winfree, Ames, Cove, Lake Houston Dam, Sheldon,
Lake Houston and Atascocita.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
321 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 630 PM CDT.
* At 321 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
The gauge at Cedar Bayou and FM 1960 received 4.08 inches in the
last hour.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Doppler radar.
IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other
drainage and low lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Northern Baytown, Humble, Liberty, Dayton, Barrett, Highlands,
Channelview, Cloverleaf, Kingwood, Spring, Crosby, Mont Belvieu,
Anahuac, Old River-Winfree, Ames, Cove, Lake Houston Dam, Sheldon,
Lake Houston and Atascocita.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.
A fierce storm in Crosby. Lighting and thunder, strong wind, heavy rains. People starting to put on their four-way flashers in droves. Dunno why people do that, it's distracting and it isn't going to make the rain go away.
Rainfall rates are very high right now,its pouring out there.
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
408 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
TXC201-172300-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0037.210517T2108Z-210517T2300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harris TX-
408 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 600 PM CDT.
* At 408 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small
stream flooding. Up to 1 inch of rain has already fallen.
Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Northwestern Pasadena, South Houston, Bellaire, West University
Place, Katy, Galena Park, Jacinto City, Jersey Village, Hunters
Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney Point Village, Spring
Valley, Spring Branch North, Spring Branch West, Memorial Park,
Afton Oaks / River Oaks Area, Greater Heights, Greenway / Upper
Kirby Area, Northside / Northline and Neartown / Montrose.
Additional rainfall of 2 to 3 inches is expected over the area. This
additional rain will result in minor flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or
ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.
&&
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
408 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
TXC201-172300-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0037.210517T2108Z-210517T2300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harris TX-
408 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 600 PM CDT.
* At 408 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small
stream flooding. Up to 1 inch of rain has already fallen.
Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Northwestern Pasadena, South Houston, Bellaire, West University
Place, Katy, Galena Park, Jacinto City, Jersey Village, Hunters
Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney Point Village, Spring
Valley, Spring Branch North, Spring Branch West, Memorial Park,
Afton Oaks / River Oaks Area, Greater Heights, Greenway / Upper
Kirby Area, Northside / Northline and Neartown / Montrose.
Additional rainfall of 2 to 3 inches is expected over the area. This
additional rain will result in minor flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or
ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.
&&
Something to keep in mind, a lot of our area right now has saturated grounds so even just 2-3” could cause some flooding issues.
Literal sheets.
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I've already picked up an inch so far here in the heights in just about 25 minutes. Not raining huge drops but just coming down in sheets.
Looks like this line is moving pretty good. Don’t think it’ll cause too many issues unless it starts slowing down.
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Stratton20
- Posts: 4942
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
It definitely looks like to me like the Line is moving pretty slowly. But its hard to tell based off looking at the radar
I don't like how the eastern half of the storm is moving southwest and the western half is moving southeast. What happens where these collide?
Last edited by Cromagnum on Mon May 17, 2021 5:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.