February 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 6494
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:44 pm
mcheer23 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:27 pm Winter Storm Warning for CS
Based on the trends, I’m expecting those warnings to be issued for counties further south at some point over the next 24 hours.
Agreed.
Stratton20
Posts: 4942
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Well hope we all dont end up with significant problems, but man is it going to be a nasty winter storm lol
User avatar
Texaspirate11
Posts: 1278
Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 12:24 am
Contact:

WE ARE NOW under Winter Weather Advisories
Our NWS is on it

RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

TXZ164-177-178-199-212-213-226-227-030200-
/O.EXB.KHGX.WW.Y.0002.220203T2000Z-220204T1500Z/
Trinity-Walker-San Jacinto-Montgomery-Waller-Inland Harris-
Wharton-Fort Bend-
Including the cities of Trinity, Groveton, Huntsville, Shepherd,
Coldspring, Conroe, The Woodlands, Hempstead, Prairie View,
Brookshire, Waller, Houston, El Campo, Wharton, Missouri City,
Mission Bend, Sugar Land, Rosenberg, First Colony,
and Pecan Grove
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

* WHERE...Trinity, Walker, San Jacinto, Montgomery, Waller, Inland
Harris, Wharton and Fort Bend Counties.

* IMPACTS...Mix of light freezing rain and ice pellets possible
for these areas. Ice accumulations up to a tenth of an inch is
possible. Slippery conditions may develop especially on
elevated roadways, bridges and overpasses.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

Texaspirate11 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:54 pm WE ARE NOW under Winter Weather Advisories
Our NWS is on it

RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

TXZ164-177-178-199-212-213-226-227-030200-
/O.EXB.KHGX.WW.Y.0002.220203T2000Z-220204T1500Z/
Trinity-Walker-San Jacinto-Montgomery-Waller-Inland Harris-
Wharton-Fort Bend-
Including the cities of Trinity, Groveton, Huntsville, Shepherd,
Coldspring, Conroe, The Woodlands, Hempstead, Prairie View,
Brookshire, Waller, Houston, El Campo, Wharton, Missouri City,
Mission Bend, Sugar Land, Rosenberg, First Colony,
and Pecan Grove
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

* WHERE...Trinity, Walker, San Jacinto, Montgomery, Waller, Inland
Harris, Wharton and Fort Bend Counties.

* IMPACTS...Mix of light freezing rain and ice pellets possible
for these areas. Ice accumulations up to a tenth of an inch is
possible. Slippery conditions may develop especially on
elevated roadways, bridges and overpasses.
Not everyone...which I don't see why not
User avatar
don
Posts: 2951
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:

18Z HRRR is even more aggressive than the 12Z run. It shows the freezing rain turning into sleet,if this trend continues expect winter storm warnings to be issued further south.
Attachments
hrrr_2022-02-02-18Z_036_31.296_262.552_27.824_266.173_Rain-Snow_Radar_highways.png
hrrr_2022-02-02-18Z_039_31.296_262.552_27.824_266.173_Rain-Snow_Radar_highways.png
hrrr_2022-02-02-18Z_040_31.296_262.552_27.824_266.173_Rain-Snow_Radar_highways.png
Last edited by don on Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
vci_guy2003
Posts: 205
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 4:04 am
Contact:

dp6 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:25 pm
don wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:34 am Here we go..wasn't expecting that this early since HGX tends to be more conservative than some of the surrounding WFO.
Really annoying how the Houston NWS office seems to usually be a day behind the private mets. Been like that for years. (I've also noticed that for some reason they seem to never issue a Hazardous Weather Outlook in their region, unlike all the other surrounding offices.)

I need to quit wasting time going to their website for anything other than current or short term info.

I haven't noticed similar issues for the DFW or Austin/SA offices, at least not to the same extent. DFW has been pretty close to the private mets on this storm (though to be fair, that was probably an easier call for that area on this particular storm.)
This is accurate.
User avatar
Texaspirate11
Posts: 1278
Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 12:24 am
Contact:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

TXZ164-177-178-199-212-213-226-227-030200-
/O.EXB.KHGX.WW.Y.0002.220203T2000Z-220204T1500Z/
Trinity-Walker-San Jacinto-Montgomery-Waller-Inland Harris-
Wharton-Fort Bend-
Including the cities of Trinity, Groveton, Huntsville, Shepherd,
Coldspring, Conroe, The Woodlands, Hempstead, Prairie View,
Brookshire, Waller, Houston, El Campo, Wharton, Missouri City,
Mission Bend, Sugar Land, Rosenberg, First Colony,
and Pecan Grove
1154 AM CST Wed Feb 2 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

* WHERE...Trinity, Walker, San Jacinto, Montgomery, Waller, Inland
Harris, Wharton and Fort Bend Counties.

* IMPACTS...Mix of light freezing rain and ice pellets possible
for these areas. Ice accumulations up to a tenth of an inch is
possible. Slippery conditions may develop especially on
elevated roadways, bridges and overpasses.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
User avatar
don
Posts: 2951
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:

The HRRR shows a large swath of .10-.25+ of ice accumulation along the I-59 corridor. And its showing freezing rain/sleet all night Thursday into Friday morning.It looks like the ICON was on to something sniffing out the second disturbance as most models are showing it now.
Attachments
Screenshot 2022-02-02 at 13-50-09 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
Last edited by don on Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
mcheer23
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 560
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

Close up of HRRR
Attachments
aaa.png
TexasBreeze
Posts: 972
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
Location: NW Houston, TX
Contact:

Even the lightest shade of pink .05 would create troubles around here!
Stratton20
Posts: 4942
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

0.15 for me and on the edge of even heavier amounts, welp better go buy me some ice skates now!😆😆 But in all seriousness I hope everyone stays safe and gets through this with little issues!
Stormlover2020
Posts: 518
Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
Contact:

Looks like a good trend I would expect wintry weather advis- prob in hardin county also
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1103
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

I’m thankful for this board. We knew this was coming long before the masses. Glad we don’t have to get out in the panic buying crowd. Thank you to everyone here for sharing your knowledge with all of us.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2951
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:

The HRRR and some other models are showing mesoscale banding taking place,that will need to be watched as that could allow heavier precip. One note though is the cutoff low/trough is going to be moving close by Friday morning, that could allow a changer over to sleet maybe even some snow flurries depending on how much the column can cool down.
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

With these trends going the way they are I'm patiently waiting for brazoria county to be placed under an advisory
Stratton20
Posts: 4942
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Thunder snow is being reported out in the hill country , wow
MH5
Posts: 39
Joined: Mon Jun 22, 2020 2:20 pm
Location: The Heights
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:47 pm Thunder snow is being reported out in the hill country , wow
I find this hard to believe this early on - did you hear a location?
mcheer23
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 560
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

MH5 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 3:07 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:47 pm Thunder snow is being reported out in the hill country , wow
I find this hard to believe this early on - did you hear a location?

Near Comanche
Stratton20
Posts: 4942
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

MHS Collin Myers was the one who reported it
TexasBreeze
Posts: 972
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
Location: NW Houston, TX
Contact:

Corpus issued an advisory for their area. Our coastline w/o anything issued sticks out like a sore thumb now! I expect that to change seeing latest modeling...
Post Reply
  • Information